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Ask HN: Are you unable to find employment?
m_ke 20 hours ago [-]
It's not just you.

I have an Ivy league degree, worked in deep learning since alexnet at a leading startup in the space, was a CTO of a startup that got acquired and have referrals from very senior people at the top FANG companies and still struggled to get interviews.

I also have research scientist friends with Neurips papers, ones that solved long standing open math problems and even they are struggling to get hired.

What me and my friends heard from a lot of people at the large companies was that many of them are no longer hiring in the US, but in India, Poland and Brazil instead, and that the roles they have listed in the US are for internal transfers. I've had a referral for Google for months and did not get an interview for NYC based roles, but when I went to an ML conference in Warsaw a few months ago I learned that Google is looking to hire 2000 people there, but with people in that office making ~1/4th of my friends in the US.

On top of that you have a huge pool of bootcamp grads and foreign applicants so any role posted gets 1000s of applications in the first few hours, making it impossible for recruiters to look over all of them.

And if that wasn't enough we're going through a huge hiring downturn post the COVID bump, see: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE

segatti 19 hours ago [-]
Can confirm. I am brazilian. Did a few onsites this end of year. Guess the only one I passed with flying colors? Uber, Brazil office. TC for mid level around 80k dollars. Now that the real devalued even more, maybe 75-70?

Most of my brazilian friends living abroad also cleared said onsites, absolute majority rejected their offers(because they live elsewhere with a currency that has any sort of value).

As a matter of fact, Uber is struggling to fill their vacancies around Brazil. Everyone that can clear said interview are already in Europe/US. So you're only left off with the people that actually want to be closer to their families.

namaria 4 hours ago [-]
Small nitpick but using 'said' as a pronoun everywhere makes your writing hard to parse.
iExploder 19 hours ago [-]
Hiring a lot in Poland and from what I know paying peanuts compared to US salaries, but still above the market rate in Europe, mainly because market rate for engineers in EU is nothing to write home about.

It sucks for you guys, but its just the new reality. Engineering is dead end career unless you are top 10%, move on to management, or money doesnt play a role, but at that point you might as well go duck farming or become a carpenter.

bruce511 19 hours ago [-]
It turns out that work-remotely can be done by non-US based workers for a fraction of the cost of US workers.

So those lobbying for work-from-home, well, this is the natural endpoint of that.

toomuchtodo 18 hours ago [-]
They would’ve outsourced regardless of remote or not. It’s all about cost. Employers are hedging after they felt they lost control during the “Great Resignation” and the labor cost pressures they faced from it. Remote also makes it too easy for workers to find other opportunities, versus being restricted to opportunities within a commute distance. Unless it’s offshore remote of course.

This is not without peril due to structural demographics. You can only outsource so much.

https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/hard-to-find-a-job-... | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42361817

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-18/us-faces-... | https://archive.today/Lyr5t

sunshine-o 16 hours ago [-]
> They would’ve outsourced regardless of remote or not.

Absolutely

> It’s all about cost.

Yes and No...

What is happening now in "tech" has happened before in other industries. Since the internet various service industries have outsourced, outshored, nearshored over and over all together and in different order. I would put immigration or even move to the public cloud in that bag of schemes.

Unless those are very low level tasks the companies doing that don't really save money in the short and long term. This has been proven over and over in the last decades, but rarely admitted publicly.

What companies try to hide by doing that are dysfunctions in management and HR (usually the people who won't get offshored).

So yes it is about cost of mismanagement that need to be hidden with a very short term vision, usually to reassure shareholders.

There is another layer to this that is still very taboo. There is an inability for our societies today to make people work together in a reasonably healthy and stable manner. This is why you will often hear about "toxic workplaces" or "great resignation".

And casting those problems in economic terms to avoid talking about it lead us to bad and costly solutions.

bruce511 11 hours ago [-]
An interesting take. Seen from the viewpoint of the worker I can see why blaming management has appeal.

Of course your argument leads to two conclusions;

A) given how badly these companies are managed, and how it will be cheaper in the long run to make use of local talent, the market must be ready for a new wave of companies that rise up. Certainly (it would seem) the local workers are available, and ready to work. Certainly there are enough ex-workers who well understand what bad management looks like, and won't make the same mistake.

B) since this outsourcing is expensive, in the long run, I expect incumbents to start failing soon. There's no need to make thus behavior illegal, the market will simply correct naturally to the most efficient path.

The natural approach of the American Entrepreneur is to see where things are going wrong, and step into the gap - forging the next success.

Where you see companies failing, I see opportunity.

sunshine-o 6 hours ago [-]
This is not the viewpoint of the worker. Especially because it kind of put a political frame on it.

I have implemented those cost reduction programs over and over in many industries. I can assure you we always know it is gonna cost more than just doing things right. The problem is there is a lot of bad incentives, people saving their skins and and a whole industry making money out of those cost reduction programs. They are now permanent in many industries and became the standard way to manage those companies.

I would agree with your two conclusions, this is the logical way it "should" go.

Now reality is for most of the big players it probably won't go that way. For example I expect the hyperscalers to go the way telcos went. They have the power (financial, political & co) to freeze their position in the market and they are now a critical part of our infrastructure. But working for them or keeping their stock in the last 20 years was probably a very bad move.

ipaddr 17 hours ago [-]
But these are not remote positions
belter 17 hours ago [-]
According to Amazon it can't... :-)
dachworker 16 hours ago [-]
NYC is a much more attractive location than Warsaw, not just because of the salary, so I fully expect the open roles in NYC to be filled very quickly.

I always wondered why American companies have offices in such unattractive locations. Last time I saw a company whose only European office was in Belgrade. Who are you going to convince to move to Belgrade to work for your company, lol? This is not like the US were all states speak English and have broadly shared cultures.

bdangubic 16 hours ago [-]
On a below-average US salary living in Belgrade your quality of life would be equal to a 7-digit salary living in the US. Not to mention that you would be in one of the safest cities in the World for women and children and generally would live better than Seinfeld on Park Ave :)

and of course everyone speaks english…

silisili 13 hours ago [-]
I'll say this: I once had to talk with a team in Belgrade. I was honestly not looking forward to it due to language barrier and such, but I didn't know anything about Serbia.

I was pleasantly surprised that that team spoke better English than most folks in the US. Every one of them.

If that's any indication of how most of the city speaks, I don't think any English speaker would have a bit of trouble communicating.

dachworker 15 hours ago [-]
As I said in the other comment, I just don't think it would be a good experience when one is a foreigner. Maybe if you consider it as just an adventure. I personally think I would get bored and lonely very fast.
bdangubic 15 hours ago [-]
oh man, honestly this can’t be further from the truth, regardless of your age, marital status… belgrade in particular and europe in general would be anything but boring for US folk!
14 hours ago [-]
m_ke 16 hours ago [-]
As polish immigrant who moved to NYC as a kid and grew up here there's no place I love more than NYC but you're wrong about Warsaw. I've been to most major cities in the US and Europe and the standard of living in Warsaw is better than 95% of them.
dachworker 15 hours ago [-]
I know that Warsaw is a great city, but I don't want to be a foreigner in Poland. I think there's a host of aspects that would impact the standard of living, when one is a foreigner in another country, that you aren't fully considering. NYC is great because it's a city of foreigners. Warsaw isn't.
user432678 3 hours ago [-]
That’s the point why they are opening offices in Warsaw, they don’t want you to relocate there, they want to hire local engineers willing to work for like quarter of the US salary, and there’s no shortage of people like that there.
admissionsguy 3 hours ago [-]
> Last time I saw a company whose only European office was in Belgrade

Obviously this is done to hire local workers. In general, and especially in Europe, most people are not interested in moving away from their home country if they can avoid it, even if it means a vastly reduced earning and career advancement potential. Serbia in particular has lots of engineers with a phenomenal quality to cost ratio.

misiti3780 20 hours ago [-]
My company is hiring in ML, the position is remote, can you send me your resume?
m_ke 19 hours ago [-]
Thanks, I’m actually pretty far in the interview process with a bunch of companies now but would be open to learning more.

My contact info is in my bio.

chillingeffect 17 hours ago [-]
>Poland

Same here. At my last company, each missed milestone meant "fire an American, hire a Pole."

dzonga 7 hours ago [-]
forget the faang companies - but just your rank and file VC funded startup - series b and up. most software engineering jobs are either in poland, india.

so yeah ya'll folks are not hallucinating - jobs are gone.

e.g https://www.rippling.com/en-GB/careers/open-roles - engineering. majority of non-staff roles in india with staff roles in the US.

w4ffl35 20 hours ago [-]
> many of them are no longer hiring in the US, but in India, Poland and Brazil instead

This should be illegal.

maeil 19 hours ago [-]
The irony is palpable.

For many years, FAANGs and the likes have made billions across the world without hiring any significant amount of people in nearly all of those economies. Zero profit for the non-US countries. Take a random one, Denmark. Google and Apple sure have been making great money off of the Danes. What has Denmark gotten in return for it? Nothing. It's all gone towards (generally US) investor returns, and US salaries.

Sure, make it illegal for US companies to hire boatloads of people abroad. At the same time, other countries should ban those US companies from operating there.

didgetmaster 17 hours ago [-]
Is there some law that prevents the people of Denmark from buying Apple or Google stock? If not, then anyone there can make as much from stock appreciation in those companies as any American.
w4ffl35 19 hours ago [-]
[flagged]
nuancebydefault 18 hours ago [-]
As a European it feels weird to know that 55 percent of US population/voters have a very similar opinion, while on this big US based blog these opinions get downvoted.

I will never ever understand what is currently and 8 years ago is/was going on in the US.

layer8 18 hours ago [-]
With regard to the downvoting, that’s easy: HN members are far from being representative of the US voting population.
hindsightbias 17 hours ago [-]
People tend to vote with their emotions or ideology.

Even rich people aren’t that rational. They might get lower taxes but the number of millionaires tripled inder Biden.

worik 17 hours ago [-]
I think you might be confused about who your real enemy is.

It is not the Danes

w4ffl35 17 hours ago [-]
Strawman. I never claimed the Danes to be my enemy, that was a hypothetical presented by the person I was responding to. I am anti-globalization.
worik 17 hours ago [-]
> I am anti-globalization

Yes. You are confused about who you are at risk from

It is Americans who have it in for you. Fortress America will crater your life, your career, everything

maeil 19 hours ago [-]
Great! US tech is by far the biggest benefactor of it (and it isn't close), so you'll be much, much worse off, but good luck. Those in Denmark that you don't care about will rejoice.
w4ffl35 19 hours ago [-]
It sounds like those in Denmark who are rejoicing over this are also anti-globalization, so its a win for everyone then.
MrMan 19 hours ago [-]
Being anti globalization means everyone loses which you will find out more about soon
maeil 6 hours ago [-]
As I've explained here [1], when it comes to this topic (software), this take is on the level of "trickle-down economics". A good dose of protectionism means most people benefit, a very clear net positive for society as a whole.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42535968

worik 17 hours ago [-]
> Being anti globalization means everyone loses

Are you saying everybody gained from globalisation?

American steel workers?

ipaddr 17 hours ago [-]
Google has an office in Copenhagen. They also have a data center. Apple has an office in Copenhagen.
wojciii 16 hours ago [-]
This is a bad example.

Google hired some VM specialists who worked out of their Aarhus office. I think they used their research for Android.

I don't know if Google still does this, but we have (or had) a large number of people working on CS problems which they could use working at our universities they could attract.

maeil 15 hours ago [-]
It's negligible. Pick a random different country if you're co nvinced Denmark is an outlier. Compare vs. their jobs in the US. Now compare that to per-country revenue. Quite simply, the % profit margin per country, looking at their expenditures made in each country (incl. salaries paid in that country) vs their revenues there.

And then compare it to "what if Google wouldn't operate at all in Denmark", how much jobs that would create.

The great news is this isn't a hypothetical that can be waved away with "we don't know", because we have a golden example in South Korea, where the 10+ year delay that Google had in gaining market share has resulted in tens of thousands of local jobs that otherwise wouldn't exist.

Could every country have its own Google a la South Korea? Maybe not. But plenty could.

stickfigure 19 hours ago [-]
Have you considered that the bitterness that drips out of your posts here might be part of the reason you're having trouble finding work?

Half the interview (ideally) measures technical competence. The other half is "would I like to work with this person?" I don't know what you're like in person, but if I looked you up and found your HN comment history, you'd be a no hire. Sorry.

w4ffl35 18 hours ago [-]
> Have you considered that the bitterness that drips out of your posts here might be part of the reason you're having trouble finding work?

Bitterness? Have you considered that you're reading my posts wrong? Having a different political opinion than you does not equate to bitterness. No - I'm not bitter at all.

And as I've made quite clear on linkedin, I want nothing to do with an employer who tries to strong arm me out of my freedom of speech and expression, so I wouldn't work for the likes of you.

> I don't know what you're like in person

Correct you don't. I'm awesome.

FreakLegion 17 hours ago [-]
"No - I'm not bitter at all."

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42533933

"Having worked for a startup and lost my job to remote workers in a foreign country because they were cheaper and being told "we can hire 3 or 4 of them for the price of you" has left a bitter taste in my mouth."

w4ffl35 17 hours ago [-]
Thanks. Having a "bitter taste" in this metaphorical sense does not necessarily mean that a person is inherently bitter. I am not a "bitter" human. Nor would I say any of my posts are "dripping" in bitterness, as Schnitzer claimed.

But again - if someone wants to pass on a hire because of that post, be my guest. I wouldn't want to work for such a petty individual.

coding123 16 hours ago [-]
These people are just suffering from ODD right now. They can't handle a world-view that makes them bad or evil, and so they will do anything they can to make you look evil/crazy/unhinged/depressed or bitter.
w4ffl35 32 minutes ago [-]
I believe thst it's just socially inept trolls who don't like my political statement. They're demonstrating their lack of ability to judge character - basing their whole assessment of my personality on alleged red flags in a few sentences that were made in response to their backhanded "advice". Typical internet incel behavior. I am not deterred.
FreakLegion 16 hours ago [-]
I exclusively hire US citizens physically located here. Try again.
15 hours ago [-]
w4ffl35 15 hours ago [-]
Its quite strange. I'm being piled on for saying that I support American workers over immigrants (which is literally Trump's position) and I am accused of being bitter. I'm actually doing great considering. Would love to have a job, but if society won't allow me, then I'll simply use the system and continue building video games, not my fault. Blame Elon etc.
namaria 4 hours ago [-]
> society won't allow me

> not my fault

These are bitter remarks and giant red flags personality wise. Take responsibility for your own life.

w4ffl35 55 minutes ago [-]
Don't care. Didn't ask.
2 hours ago [-]
stickfigure 12 hours ago [-]
You can take this any way you like, but I'm genuinely trying to offer constructive criticism. Whether you mean to or not, you come across as bitter and angry.

...also a little socially awkward? Why use my last name in this forum? Not that it bothers me; I deliberately maintain a public profile. But the convention here is to use each other's usernames, and you had to click through at least a couple links to see my name. Do we know each other? I presume not, or you would have used my first name.

There's something a little strange about it; either you aren't picking up on community social conventions, or you're deliberately trying to break them. It's just a small and almost insignificant data point, but if I had to take a totally wild guess, these sorts of subtle social issues are what interviewers are picking up on.

tga 51 minutes ago [-]
You're spot on. Thanks for drawing this out and making it clear that, no matter what might be going on in the industry, the original poster's issue obtaining (and probably keeping) a job is about their contrarian attitude and lack of social skills.
w4ffl35 40 minutes ago [-]
What a goofy thing to say. I have excellent social skills and I do not have a contrarian attitude. The original post isn't even about my personal experiences. I've asked others what their experiences have been. Would you mind pointing to something outside of this post that would make you claim that I have a contrarian attitude and lack of social skills? Would you mind pointing to a specific job in which these alleged defects affected me negatively?

I recall holding down many jobs for many consecutive years and being let go of only one. I related why I was let go: the owner was able to hire cheaper foriegn labor - were you aware of this? The president said in 2016 that hiring h1b just to save a buck is something he would permanently end.

Here is a link to his statements. Were you aware of this as well?

https://x.com/JackPosobiec/status/1873172920396382490

I fail to see a contrarian attitude in this thread, but I do see internet trolls who smell blood and are attempting to bait me into a fight that won't happen. Good luck.

w4ffl35 12 hours ago [-]
You have your full name linked in your profile. Look Jeff, you've offered up backhanded advice twice now in this thread. I'll offer up my honest feedback to you: you come across as rude and obtuse. We are having a discussion in this post about H1B, job shortages etc. Nothing I've said in any of these posts or comments is bitter or angry. You're free to read my words however you wish, but you might want to take a step back from your emotions, because they seem to have gotten the better of you. I'm a pretty happy guy. I'm not really sure where you're getting any of your intel from, but you're wrong. Now I've corrected you twice. Anymore insisting on your part is just trolling. Your "constructive criticism" has been rejected.
w4ffl35 1 hours ago [-]
I had a free minute to look over my posts. They aren't bitter. If someone reads these posts as bitter or sees red flags that prevents them from hiring me, that is a petty employer with poor reading comprehension who is too involved in my personal life and I wouldn't want to work for them regardless. Furthermore, I haven't offered up enough information about my situation or experiences to make a real judgement about my personality. Anyone who hires or fires or makes other judgment calls in such a rash manner would make a terrible coworker, employer and business owner. Again - not someone I have any interest in spending time with. I need no education on the hiring process or sly backhanded tips that are meant to degrade and belittle me. I have no time for such people or their empty words, and I won't be baited into a ridiculous argument. If you would like to stay on topic and post information about your recent experiences in the job market, by all means, do so. I didn't make this post seeking advice or help. I'm looking for information for research purposes.

Offering one's advice when another hasn't requested it is condescending, especially when one knows absolutely nothing about the other person.

If you wish to imagine me as a bitter person sitting around cursing immigrants for my woes, so be it. You'll be wrong and dumber for it, but I'm not going to waste my time trying to convince some idiot otherwise.

I have nothing to hide. I shared this whole post on LinkedIn. I don't care if a potential employer reads it.

Just to reiterate: they don't like it? I don't care. I like working with people who aren't petty and obtuse. Having no job is better than walking on eggshells and being strong armed out of a political opinion by trolls like Jeff under the guise of "creative criticism".

8 hours ago [-]
derektank 20 hours ago [-]
Why, exactly? These companies have foreign customers, it seems reasonable to expect that they would also want to have foreign employees that can speak the language, work in the same time zone, etc. And the demand for those employees is unlikely to be perfectly commensurate with demand for US based employees at all times. Seems like a ban would be pretty destructive, even if some of this hiring is an attempt at offshoring work US based employees would be doing.
handzhiev 20 hours ago [-]
If such a ban is in power, many companies will either close or move abroad. It's as simple as that. I agree, it will be totally destructive.
w4ffl35 20 hours ago [-]
So be it.
coding123 19 hours ago [-]
If this is the case, why do I get someone in India when I call US based companies for support (during their midnight)?

Should US employees do support for Indian companies during our midnight too? I'm being honest, I can probably work for a few pennies since I was laid off months ago. Anything will help keep me going at this point.

thinkyfish 19 hours ago [-]
I've witnessed the answer personally. Indian immigrants working physically in US call centers.
w4ffl35 20 hours ago [-]
If a company is operating in a foreign nation sure. If a company is operating in America on American soil and refusing to hire Americans because they want to save a buck, they should face penalties. I do not see hiring foreigners as being pro-American.
dmantis 19 hours ago [-]
When US sells stuff, it's all pro free-market. When US competes, there are tiktok potential bans and whining about workers from other countries. You can only pick one to be fair. You either don't sell your products to the outside world (and kill the economy) or provide equal opportunities for nations you earn money from.
layer8 19 hours ago [-]
More software companies are operating internationally nowadays than aren’t, I would assume. And publicly-traded companies are generally owned internationally to some degree. It’s rarely in the interest of a company to restrict themselves to a single country.

Furthermore, most of the hardware that you use directly or indirectly, wasn’t manufactured in the US. The globalization trend of companies, job markets, consumers, and supply chains being spread around the world will likely only grow. Most things are internationally interdependent nowadays, there’s no good reason for why the job market should be any different.

brianwawok 19 hours ago [-]
Then make this choice when you own a company. What % of your paycheck are you willing to donate to being pro America?
ipaddr 17 hours ago [-]
Logically you should pay taxes on the money earned from American customers at American rates to the American government.
w4ffl35 19 hours ago [-]
> Then make this choice when you own a company

Absolutely I would.

> What % of your paycheck are you willing to donate to being pro America?

This is a tu quoque logical fallacy. I'll cross that bridge if and when I come to it, but I can tell you that I'd rather take a pay cut than hire a foreigner.

brianwawok 17 hours ago [-]
Great! Then I encourage you to do so. And then after you do, we can come back and you can tell us how company X should do Y. Otherwise you are just sitting there complaining when you would likely do the same thing given the same choices.
w4ffl35 17 hours ago [-]
Sure fund me and let's see what happens.
bdangubic 17 hours ago [-]
your heart is obviously in the right place but you could not be competitive. this is like I got a team of ballers and everyone is on steroids (which are legal). you have a high moral ground and care for your ballers and would never let them dope. your chances playing against my team are not going to be that great…
maeil 19 hours ago [-]
The comment is mostly talking about Silicon Valley big tech, of which exactly 100% operates in many countries.
w4ffl35 19 hours ago [-]
Having worked for a startup and lost my job to remote workers in a foreign country because they were cheaper and being told "we can hire 3 or 4 of them for the price of you" has left a bitter taste in my mouth.
maeil 19 hours ago [-]
I can tell you that US tech companies making enormous amounts of money from your country's populace while contributing back near-zero jobs in return is just as bitter.
akmarinov 19 hours ago [-]
Getting the most product for the least amount of money is Capitalism 101. Companies don’t owe you anything past that and you should follow the same principle.

Do the least amount of work that’ll get you as much money as possible and always look for a better offer.

w4ffl35 19 hours ago [-]
I'd prefer to take a pay cut and continue working - that's survival 101, which as a human is my primary concern.
atemerev 19 hours ago [-]
Under capitalism, a private company has duties to shareholders first. If you want companies has duties to their host country first, there are other social systems for that. Perhaps fascism.
worik 17 hours ago [-]
> Under capitalism....are other social systems for that. Perhaps fascism.

That is, obviously, a false dichotomy

w4ffl35 19 hours ago [-]
[flagged]
atemerev 19 hours ago [-]
Yes, you would. And I would prefer to eradicate all damned fascists out of the world, like we did in 1945. We are not the same.
w4ffl35 18 hours ago [-]
I'm able to thrive under any political system. Globalism is just large scale fascism in my eyes.
seanmcdirmid 20 hours ago [-]
Why should it be illegal for American companies to operate abroad when they have international revenue streams?
w4ffl35 20 hours ago [-]
[flagged]
nuancebydefault 18 hours ago [-]
America will be a lot poorer if the foreigners would not do so much of the work. This claim is in the same ballpark as saying we should not be allowed to use machines. I am really astonished that there are many people who obviously are able to read and write, but somehow don't understand economics 101.
layer8 19 hours ago [-]
There is a shortage of American workers willing to work for internationally competitive salaries. This is similar in Europe, by the way. Industry associations claim that there is a shortage of skilled workers, whereas in reality there is only a shortage of skilled workers willing to work for low-ish salaries. On the other hand, paying everyone higher salaries across the board would have its own economic consequences.
throwaway48476 19 hours ago [-]
The economic consequences would be an increased percent of the economy going to wages instead of returned as dividends and stock buyback. Wage income also has a higher velocity of money increasing economic activity.
layer8 18 hours ago [-]
Wage increases also drive inflation. And given the uncertainties of the present times, people might opt to save more of their earnings rather than spending it all.
throwaway48476 18 hours ago [-]
This is why people should index wages as a percentage of the total enocomy. Because 'inflation' only means anything when compared to something else. Just saying inflation is meaningless by itself.
layer8 18 hours ago [-]
I agree with binding salaries to an index. However, if the index is accurate (which is a whole other can of worms), then it implies that the buying power would stay the same, and you would need extra justification to add a pay raise on top.

Of course, in reality different products/services have substantially different price developments relative to inflation, and it’s difficult to predict whether essential costs of living will be relatively more or less affected by inflation.

throwaway48476 18 hours ago [-]
It's simpler to just say wages are x% of gdp.
layer8 18 hours ago [-]
Not sure that would make sense. And it probably would appear like communism to the US, because one company or industry increasing the GDP would then translate into benefitting the workers of all other companies/industries. Also, if GDP decreases, salary would have to decrease as well.
throwaway48476 15 hours ago [-]
I don't think you understand what I said. Instead of nominally inflation which is gamed, use total wages as a percentage of GDP.
ungreased0675 18 hours ago [-]
I’m not sure that’s accurate. The primary complaint I see (and also have) is applying to hundreds of jobs and not even getting a screening call. Haven’t seen many complaints about lowball offers.
seanmcdirmid 19 hours ago [-]
But they make a lot (most) of their money outside of the USA, so why restrict them to doing the work only in the USA? That will not only start a trade war, but give an unfair advantage to foreign companies (like SAP) who can open up R&D offices in the USA, Germany, or wherever they want.

America First is as old as the Great Depression years ago. They always fizzle out in the face of economic realities.

maeil 19 hours ago [-]
Right, then go get out of all those juicy international markets and see the majority of revenue evaporate.
nickff 20 hours ago [-]
There are a lot of companies; Americans have a spectrum of views, as do corporations. In addition, both individuals and corporations are capable of talking out of both sides of their mouth (or just plain lying).
w4ffl35 20 hours ago [-]
Yes there are a lot of companies, and yes people and companies can lie. I'm not really sure how this negates what I said or my view on the matter. Globalization is the antithesis of the America First movement.
nickff 19 hours ago [-]
Some industries do face shortages in short term skilled labor supply; they might be able to get more people trained up in 5-10 years, with enough investment, but you can’t get a journeyman ready in three months. Others just want more supply, to reduce labor costs and make domestic production cost-competitive with foreign equivalents. Neither of those groups is lying.
w4ffl35 19 hours ago [-]
Then let them go through the immigration system, get a green card and start working in the US. The original thread here is me saying that it should be illegal / there should be penalties for hiring abroad when there are plenty of skilled American workers who are being turned down for the jobs which are going to cheap foreign labor.
layer8 19 hours ago [-]
Not sure what TOS you are referring to, but regarding downvotes maybe you should read the top comment on: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36673613
w4ffl35 17 hours ago [-]
Guess things have changed on this site.
layer8 15 hours ago [-]
The pg comments linked to above are from 2008. HN launched in 2007.
w4ffl35 13 hours ago [-]
all the comments on that link are 2023. I'm not clicking through a bunch of sublinks.
TypingOutBugs 19 hours ago [-]
What should be illegal, specifically? What concrete action should be made illegal?

These are people hired locally within their respective countries by local corporations owned by holdings in the US. How can you make it illegal for a company to hire people legally in other countries through their legal non-US incorporations?

coding123 18 hours ago [-]
I just think start with the moral issue first. Then legal experts can craft logic around that.

Basically, if an unemployed American that can write React code, that person should have a job before any H1B (or remotely hired person) at the same level, same remoteness status, etc... If all the Americans are hired, then H1B levels (and remote work Indians) may rise again.

I might have a larger shot at getting a job right now if I literally move to India and get in with one of these programming shops. Of course I won't participate in the night-time scamming operation of US grandparents.

By the way I'm half Indian

gloosx 9 hours ago [-]
You don't need to move to India for that, it is enough to just bid for 3x less salary like an Indian and you will get the job from anywhere. Then you maybe will consider moving to India.
w4ffl35 19 hours ago [-]
> many of them are no longer hiring in the US, but in India, Poland and Brazil instead

to reiterate what i've stated throughout this thread: passing up US workers in favor of hiring foreigners should incur heavy penalties. There is no shortage of American workers. If a foreigner wants to work for an American company, they should get a greencard and work in America.

If a company has a foreign office, of course it makes sense to hire people in that country, but that wasn't stipulated in the comment I replied to. Many companies are NOT based in foreign lands and still hire foreigners remotely, passing up Americans in the process, because those foreigners are dirt cheap by comparison. This should not be allowed.

TypingOutBugs 19 hours ago [-]
There’s three ways US companies can do that:

1. Hiring a company for a service

2. Hiring a contractor who invoices through their foreign company

3. Having an office in that country

Which one would you make illegal? I don’t even understand what the rule would be to defend or support here, in practice. Companies in the US cannot hire services from foreign countries?

bdangubic 20 hours ago [-]
globalization mate, globalization… there will never be a law in the US of A that prevents companies from finding cheap labor… more than a quarter (and ever growing) SWEs are no longer “on shore”
w4ffl35 20 hours ago [-]
I am anti-globalization, and pro-America first.
bdangubic 19 hours ago [-]
that is an oxymoron - america has been the main driver of globalization without a distant second. the “america first” is political garbage used to rile up rural america, it only exists in context “we’ll let american companies do whatever is necessary so that we keep being “global leader” …)
w4ffl35 19 hours ago [-]
American leaders have been the drivers of lots of terrible things that I disagree with. I'm still anti globalization and pro-America first which in the context of this thread translates to hiring American workers over foreigners when there is clearly no shortage of American workers.
bdangubic 19 hours ago [-]
brace yourself for the next two/four years as the incoming administration is on a mission to kill american workforce chasing every last dollar. I feel you but the pro-America means 180-different to you than what is about to hit us hard
w4ffl35 18 hours ago [-]
Perhaps. Most certainly the unelected musk / ramaswamy coalition is all about that. It's really up in the air how this will go. With the recent meltdown on X, I await Trump's words and actions. His base is unhappy, as is his inner circle. Musk is flailing, telling people to "fuck yourself in the face" etc. Does trump's base matter now that he's in his 2nd term, or will he tether himself to musk for the duration of his time in office? It will be an interesting 4 years.
nirav72 13 hours ago [-]
> I await Trump's words

well..right now, it seems that Trump is siding with Elon on this. This hit the news today:

https://apnews.com/article/trump-maga-immigration-visas-musk...

Also remember - Trump doesn't need the votes anymore from his base. He could pivot on all of his promises or some of these things or make just enough of a visible attempt to give a perception of things are being changed. It wouldn't make a difference. He's said a lot of things and made a lot of promises since being elected the first time. Very few things actually trickled down to the average person. At least nothing that was a lasting change couldn't be undone by the next administration due to bad policy. I say this as someone who voted for him. (I knew what who I was voting for though and had very little expectations of change.)

w4ffl35 24 minutes ago [-]
Yes like I said: > Does trump's base matter now that he's in his 2nd term?

I doubt it.

bdangubic 12 hours ago [-]
if he is set of pilaging what he can for the next two years - this is 100% right. he’ll get buttfucked in 2026 midterms like in 2018… but I think he does want at least 4 years of full power and will want the votes for one more election cycle
isbvhodnvemrwvn 19 hours ago [-]
Success of the US is largely a product of globalization and geography. The US would be nowhere close to where it is now without largely unrestricted capitalism and a global consumer base. It has always been like that, from being a colony, through making money on products of slavery, being industrial base for lots of the world in 20th century and now being the digital world capital.
bruce511 19 hours ago [-]
I think it suks that your job got lost to a foreign worker. It's certainly no consolation that you are merely the latest casualty of globalization, along with your US manufacturing workers.

I say that sincerely- losing your job suks.

Of course the root of the problem, for you and steel workers, US that American consumers care more about money than where something is sourced. They buy the cheapest car, cheapest steel, cheapest computer etc. So to survive companies have to reduce costs, which inevitably means off-shoring.

Tarifs are a solution, but are simpler to do on physical imports than on remote labor. Basically though they help by driving up local prices, allowing say American Steel to compete.

Yes, prices going up (inflation) is a side effect, and yes salaries have to remain fixed (else the import is still cheaper) so disposal income, and hence standard of living have to come down. That's a feature not a bug.

Alternatively taxes could be slashed, requiring massive reductions on spending on military, social security and Medicare. That would mean some job losses in the military-industrial sector, but frankly that's probably a good thing.

Social Security and Medicare are unpopular to cut, but its easily done, and a necessity to make significant cuts. I think the electorate has given a mandate to the govt to do this, do I expect they'll do it. (Trump campaigned on this, so its pretty much what people clearly want.)

I know attempts at American isolationist policies have not worked in the past, but I expect it'll be different this time.

The alternative to this approach would be higher taxes on companies and the mega rich - along with reduced military spending and increases to the social security net. That's the route most of the other countries took, but how many billionaires can Poland boast?

Sure they're sucking up programmer jobs, but there aren't too many companies complaining about that.

wakawaka28 10 hours ago [-]
>Social Security and Medicare are unpopular to cut, but its easily done, and a necessity to make significant cuts. I think the electorate has given a mandate to the govt to do this, do I expect they'll do it. (Trump campaigned on this, so its pretty much what people clearly want.)

No he didn't campaign on this. It's not easily done either. You're talking about people's families who paid into the system and were promised to be paid, and their kids certainly aren't going to be paying those bills when nobody is doing great financially speaking.

Maybe the government's promises can't be kept, but the politician that voluntarily casts the elderly into destitution or drastically increases taxes on workers is not going to last long.

w4ffl35 18 hours ago [-]
> Social Security and Medicare are unpopular to cut, but its easily done, and a necessity to make significant cuts. I think the electorate has given a mandate to the govt to do this, do I expect they'll do it. (Trump campaigned on this, so its pretty much what people clearly want.)

Can you please point me to Trump campaigning on this? I heard him say the exact opposite repeatedly in his speeches at his rallies.

bruce511 11 hours ago [-]
Trump lies all the time. So what he says and what he campaigns on are different things. He says he is pro-women (but acts the opposite) pro-US (but sources all his grift from China), says he wants to bring down prices (but plans on tarifs to raise them).

He claims no affiliation to Project 25 (but then hires all those planners into key positions), claims to be pro-worker, but eliminates labor protections and gives tax cuts only to rich people.

The American public are smart. They are not easily duped. They understand that when he says Social Security and Medicare are bring left alone, he intends to cut them.

They understand that campaigning on fiscal responsibility means widening the deficit. They understand that improving health care means taking it away and giving health care companies more profit.

This is the future he campaigned on - this is the future they voted for. This is no a politician changing between campaign and office. His intentions, interests, and affiliations - his transactional nature - are front and center and have been all along.

This is the man the people have decided will best lead them. This is democracy in action.

devops99 7 hours ago [-]
> Trump lies all the time.

Of course the politician does this, but if you think this somehow granted you carte blanche to write out of your ass you are a special kind of delusional.

wakawaka28 10 hours ago [-]
All politicians lie.

>The American public are smart. They are not easily duped. They understand that when he says Social Security and Medicare are bring left alone, he intends to cut them.

That's ridiculous. Your central premise seems to be that because Trump has lied before, we live in opposite land. Not only that but that the American public is 100% behind the opposite of what they were promised, which is also very bad for them and their families personally. Your rationale makes absolutely no sense.

bruce511 10 hours ago [-]
Yes all politicians lie. But Trump doesn't lie like that, he lies about everything all the time. He lies about things that are obviously untrue, right there in front of you.

He's not a "liar" in the way most people are. He's a liar in the sense that you are in on the lie, that you understand the lie is a lie.

This is not "some of the act" - its his whole shtick.

Yes, I think most of what he does will be very bad for most of the people who voted for him. Yes I think they voted for the exact opposite of what is good for them.

But this is a guy with a 4 year term already behind him. This is a guy running to stay out of jail. This is the guy people voted for. More than in 2016, more than in 2020. More across all demographics. More in 90% of counties .

The voter understands the pain that is coming, and embraces it as necessary for the coming greatness. The willingness to put their own suffering aside, to willingly endure the oncoming hardships, to vote against their personal best interest is admirable.

At least I assume this is what happened.

wakawaka28 7 hours ago [-]
>But Trump doesn't lie like that, he lies about everything all the time. He lies about things that are obviously untrue, right there in front of you.

Again you describe what most politicians do. Trump's lying is not quantitatively nor qualitatively more severe than any other politician at that level, certainly not more than Biden or Kamala.

>He's not a "liar" in the way most people are. He's a liar in the sense that you are in on the lie, that you understand the lie is a lie.

I don't buy this.

>But this is a guy with a 4 year term already behind him. This is a guy running to stay out of jail. This is the guy people voted for. More than in 2016, more than in 2020. More across all demographics. More in 90% of counties .

Need I remind you that Biden pardoned his son for a huge period of time and undisclosed crimes which he himself might be an accomplice?

>The voter understands the pain that is coming, and embraces it as necessary for the coming greatness. The willingness to put their own suffering aside, to willingly endure the oncoming hardships, to vote against their personal best interest is admirable.

I don't think this is what happened. Although the Trump campaign did make vague references to temporary pain, it explicitly denied that any benefits would be cut or taxes increased (except for the tariffs). People are suffering because of high inflation and a stagnant economy. They see hundreds of billions of dollars go abroad as we struggle to cover expenses at home. They are not down for more taxes, reduced benefits, or any such thing. You're bending over backward to say that voters want the exact opposite of what they were promised, and that's ridiculous.

I don't know how many people think our Western lifestyles are sustainable. One thing is for sure though. If you're a politician and you admit defeat, and say we can't possibly have the lifestyles we've had for many decades without some kind of awful intervention like a massive war, high taxes, or cuts to essential services, you're guaranteeing your own loss. People want to believe there is a way, and they're not ready to give up their way of life yet just because some politician says they aren't being reasonable or they don't deserve it.

bruce511 1 hours ago [-]
>> Again you describe what most politicians do. Trump's lying is not quantitatively nor qualitatively more severe than any other politician at that level, certainly not more than Biden or Kamala.

I'd argue that it is much worse - but each to his own bubble.

>> Need I remind you that Biden pardoned his son for a huge period of time and undisclosed crimes which he himself might be an accomplice?

ahh yes, the mythical Biden crime family... Any minute now there's be some evidence of literally anything - anything at all... No wait, before we get to evidence we'll at least have an idea of what crime he's supposed to have committed? (The drug and gun charges are fair enough - but they're very much related to Hunter - not to Joe.)

>> They are not down for more taxes, reduced benefits, or any such thing.

That's a pity then. 'Cause that's what's coming. That's obvious to anyone who's paid the slightest attention to the Republican agenda for this term. I _assumed_ that voters understood that's what they were voting for - whereas you're correcting me to explain that they were simply duped. (I'm not in the US, so it's hard to see that from here, so thank's for the correction...)

>> I don't know how many people think our Western lifestyles are sustainable. >> ... >> People want to believe there is a way, and they're not ready to give up their way of life yet just because some politician says [it's not possible].

So they cast a vote based on wishful thinking? Ironically I think the current lifestyle is sustainable in the long term, with only minor lifestyle changes. But it would seem then that your voters would prefer to simply pretend the problems don't exist? That they can magically go back to 50 years ago?

I must say, it sounds like you have less faith in the US voter than I do...

>> it explicitly denied that any benefits would be cut or taxes increased (except for the tariffs).

I mean sure, if you call it a "tariff" not a "tax" then maybe it sounds better. But they're the same thing no? Given that it was such a focal point of the platform I'm pretty sure Republican voters understand that.

On the benefits front - a target cut of $2 trillion was made very clear. Looking at govt spending how exactly can that number be reached _without_ cutting benefits?

I guess the next 4 years will play out, and either it'll be better or worse. My money is on worse (just based on the economic impact of the policies already announced) but I don't have a crystal ball, so I guess anything is possible...

aio2 20 hours ago [-]
No it shouldn't be lol
krapp 20 hours ago [-]
On what basis? There is no right to employment in the US Constitution, and companies are simply practicing good capitalism by purchasing the most effective workforce at the lowest cost from a global labor pool.

If you want to live in a society where your life has value beyond that which a market rapidly converging on slave labor and AI can extract from you, I guess maybe move to a country where "socialism" isn't a dirty word.

thatcat 20 hours ago [-]
There is no right to globalism in the constitution either: any and all of those behaviors can and should be regulated if it is in the best interest of the US citizens.
krapp 19 hours ago [-]
There is no right to globalism, and thus the US government isn't forcing companies to be globalist. Globalism is simply the inevitable result of capitalist incentives in the global marketplace, and the US has benefited greatly from it. Not all Americans, obviously, but certainly those that capitalism is intended to benefit (the capitalist class.)

And I guess the petite-bougeousie of the American tech class is getting a rude awakening that they're just labor after all, and thus not entitled to eat from the table they set.

thatcat 18 hours ago [-]
>inevitable result of incentives

Market incentives are influenced by policies the US gov sets, so globalist capitalists monopolizing US markets is the inevitable result of US gov policies. Ever heard of Anti-trust laws? They could be updated for the global economy any time.

krapp 18 hours ago [-]
Banning all American companies from outsourcing or hiring foreigners would result in complete financial isolation, collapse and likely balkanization of the US, and ironically far worse employment prospects for Americans than currently exist. All modern Western capitalist power depends upon the exploitation of a foreign underclass.

Yes, theoretically, the US could pursue its own Sakoku as a suicidal policy of "nativist" self-reliance but the premise that they ever would is ridiculous. I know people in this thread couldn't care less, but policy is set by people who actually do.

Americans can compete with Indian, Chinese and Mexican labor when they're willing to work for Indian, Chinese and Mexican wages, end of.

thatcat 16 hours ago [-]
why would an american with a high cost of living (result of policy choices) be expected to work for a mexican wage? ill work for a mexican wage when i have a mexican cost of living, end of.
krapp 15 hours ago [-]
>why would an american with a high cost of living (result of policy choices) be expected to work for a mexican wage?

Because they're competing against Mexicans who will do the job at that wage, and probably automation and AI, and there is no universe in which American companies simply decide to spend more on local labor without commensurate benefit. It isn't any American employers' problem that the market has determined the value of US labor to be less than the cost of living, and not worth investing in.

thatcat 6 hours ago [-]
Perhaps the company should relocate to india or mexico and enjoy their infrastructure, labor, crime, and culture as a single package. Did you already forget crowdstrike? How much did that cost? Seems like your numbers are missing the tail end risks of reducing standards because that is an externality. Maybe that's why immigration law isn't suppose to be written by companies.
snihalani 8 hours ago [-]
this 100x^
brickfaced 18 hours ago [-]
Just not true. The H1B visa program didn't exist until the 1990s.

In fact, until passage of the Hart-Celler Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965, the US was under strict immigration restrictions established by the Johnson-Reed Act of 1924. During that time we assimilated the Ellis Islanders, beat the Great Depression, out-produced the Axis to win World War 2, split the atom, rebuilt Europe and Japan, electrified the country, fed the world with our Green Revolution, invented the transistor, cured polio, invented the integrated circuit, and built the Empire State Building, Golden Gate Bridge, Hoover Dam and interstate highway system. Cheap tech labor benefits a small club of men at the top, such as Elon and paulg. It is not essential to the success or prosperity of America or the American people.

An America where children must study 24/7 and work 80 hours a week as slavish, soulless drones to compete with indentured servants from every corner of the world is not a country I want to live in. It's not the country I was promised nor the future I voted for, and I'm going to fight to make sure it doesn't happen.

krapp 17 hours ago [-]
>During that time we assimilated the Ellis Islanders, beat the Great Depression, out-produced the Axis to win World War 2, split the atom, rebuilt Europe and Japan, electrified the country, fed the world with our Green Revolution, invented the transistor, cured polio, invented the integrated circuit, and built the Empire State Building, Golden Gate Bridge, Hoover Dam and interstate highway system. Cheap tech labor benefits a small club of men at the top, such as Elon and paulg. It is not essential to the success or prosperity of America or the American people.

To be clear, you're implying that all of these things, specifically, were the result of American anti-immigration policies and high wages for American workers?

Because I'm pretty sure America needed plenty of foreign help to split the atom, and that socialist programs like the WPA built much of the infrastructure you're talking about, and the interstate highways were built by government contractors and prison labor. And Americans may have invented the transistor, but the patents originated with Canadian, Austrian and German research. Of course, the cheap labor of manufacturing in China and elsewhere in Asia is responsible for the ubiquity and low cost of just about all electronics sold in the US. Almost everyone has something made by Sony or Panasonic, but no one has a Zenith TV anymore.

The "Green Revolution"... depended entirely on the cooperation of foreign governments, investment and labor. The US absolutely did not "feed the world with our Green Revolution," just as the US did not "win World War 2."

>Cheap tech labor benefits a small club of men at the top, such as Elon and paulg. It is not essential to the success or prosperity of America or the American people.

What's funny is that we're here on a board built for and primarily used by Silicon Valley tech people who make six figure salaries on the back of that labor, from H1-B visaholders to the South Americans cleaning their toilets down to the child slaves mining rare earth elements in the Congo, and were fine with it up until someone talked about them the way they talk about the foreign help.

And let's not pretend tech was ever about the success or prosperity of America or the American people. Ya'll got in it because you wanted to exit a billionaire like Zuckerberg or Musk with a little effort and a bullshit gimmick, while someone whose name you can't bother even trying to pronounce serves you a catered lunch at the commissary.

Yeah, sorry, you're just another one of the tomatoes.

>An America where children must study 24/7 and work 80 hours a week as slavish, soulless drones to compete with indentured servants from every corner of the world is not a country I want to live in.

Stop voting for the people who keep making it worse, then. Did you really think the globalist billionaire who never worked a real job and rarely paid his (often foreign) employees was a hero of the working man?

thatcat 16 hours ago [-]
>Green Revolution"... depended entirely on the cooperation of foreign governments

Habor-bosch fed the world, green rev was a gift of that refined process to a country that couldn't feed itself.

>And Americans may have invented the transistor, but the patents originated with Canadian, Austrian and German research

which of course would have been useless without boolean logic, invented by an american.

Most of your argument is a straw man against america the narrative. The US civil engineer corps developed the most useful part of our infrastructure - the hydroelectric dams. Historically, I don't think the designs of critical national infrastructure was outsourced to immigrants to save a few bucks because to do so would be shortsighted and irresponsible.

>you voted wrong

as if there was a real choice offered and people should be assumed to have voted wrong and held accountable.

brickfaced 13 hours ago [-]
>Because I'm pretty sure America needed plenty of foreign help to split the atom

The whole point of my comment was that such truly high-skilled immigrants were able to arrive and thrive during the term of the Johnson-Reed Act. The rest of your critique on that point is ill-founded and irrelevant.

>Almost everyone has something made by Sony or Panasonic, but no one has a Zenith TV anymore.

Yes, tariffs will be needed to reshore those industries.

>The "Green Revolution"... depended entirely on the cooperation of foreign governments, investment and labor. The US absolutely did not "feed the world with our Green Revolution," just as the US did not "win World War 2."

You'd do well to read a biography of Norman Borlaug. He did a lot more than repackage Haber-Bosch. American charity during the 1960s and 70s is the only reason tens if not hundreds of millions of Indians are alive today. Whether that's ultimately in America's best interest remains to be seen.

The sweeping socialist polemics and corny "y'all" was very funny, thanks for the laugh.

wakawaka28 10 hours ago [-]
No, "We the People" grant property rights and other favors to businesses. If they act against the best interests of the country then they can be appropriately taxed. There's no need to resort to full blown communism on account of unpatriotic behavior from our businesses.
w4ffl35 20 hours ago [-]
Bringing down the American economy when there is no shortage of American workers. I'm no advocate of socialism. And I'm anti-globalization.
psiconaut 20 hours ago [-]
You can always migrate.
20 hours ago [-]
jarsin 19 hours ago [-]
I could see outsourcing to Poland end up working out just as great as outsourcing to Ukraine did.

Not saying it will happen tomorrow, but would not surprise me to see Russia go in there after they get a big chunk of Ukraine and slowly gain control of it's government.

m_ke 19 hours ago [-]
Putin would be asking for WW3 if he tried that and it would not end well for him.

A ton of big tech companies opened large offices in Poland in the past few years. It’s starting to look like a pretty major tech hub. If you look at Google or Box job boards most of their open roles in Europe are in Warsaw.

throwaway48476 19 hours ago [-]
WW3 only happens if NATO isn't bluffing about article 5. Given the lackluster response to Ukraine it doesn't look good for article 5 and Poland, which is why they're buying so many weapons now.
namaria 4 hours ago [-]
How does NATO response to an invasion on a non-NATO country bears on article 5 exactly?
bufferoverflow 15 hours ago [-]
Poland is a NATO country. Russia won't attack Poland, they only attack weak countries. Even if they take over Ukraine, their next target would be Kazakhstan or Moldova or Georgia.
bartekpacia 19 hours ago [-]
At this point we all would have much worse things to worry about. Poland is a part of NATO.
jarsin 19 hours ago [-]
A) Trump is president and he has made it clear the US will be taking a backseat on NATO in Europe.

B) Even the polish government thinks this more than possible. They instituted mandatory weapons training for all teenage school kids recently.

I would say it has never been more probable than anytime since the last time Russia invaded Poland in WW2.

These companies outsourcing there have got some serious wishful thinking going on. They are right next door to a madman who uses nuclear material to poison his enemies anywhere in the world.

throwaway48476 18 hours ago [-]
They brought back the weapons training program they had in communist times which is just weapons assembly and disassembly. They don't even shoot them which seems like it misses the point the firearms.
jcalvinowens 18 hours ago [-]
Yes, this is what everybody I know is experiencing right now.

Caveat lector: This is simply a retelling of my personal experience, YMMV. This is not advice.

What has consistently worked for me: I stopped applying for jobs, and redirected all that effort into creating and publishing open source projects that demonstrate competence in the areas of work I want. And, just as importantly, I contribute to big established open source projects in those areas too.

I did not apply for my current job (started 6 months ago): they solicited me, based on my open source work. All the best jobs I've had have been like that, this is the 3rd time it worked.

When I'm unemployed, I only apply for jobs I actually want, typically spending an hour each on 0-2 extremely targeted applications per week. But I treat churning out new open source stuff as my full time job until somebody notices. In addition to successfully landing me three great jobs over the past decade, this approach has made me a much much better programmer.

Also, I strongly believe spending hours a day writing new code will enhance your ability to pass technical interviews much more than gamified garbage like leetcode.

A huge part of making this work is not living a typical valley lifestyle: I plan my life around the median national salary for a software engineer, and when I'm making more than that it all goes straight into my savings. In the bay, that requires living frugally (by bay standards...), but I can't even begin to put into words how grateful I am to past-decade-me for living like that and giving today-me the freedom to turn down the bad jobs and wait for the good ones. Obviously, I don't have children.

I do a lot more open source than a typical programmer in the valley, but I don't think I'm "exceptional" in any sense: you just have to put in the work. I do feel like I was very lucky to start my career in an extremely open-source-centric role, and in fairness that gives me a leg up here which I am probably inclined to underestimate.

softwaredoug 14 hours ago [-]
I think people see networking as some skeevy thing, but what your describe is what actual networking looks like:

1. Contribute your time generously to a software community

2. Get to know the people and help them

3. Most people have a bias towards reciprocity, want to help you!

Bonus: do this before you need a job, but while you’re employed.

nicbou 5 hours ago [-]
> as some skeevy thing

I used to think that way, but now I understand it differently. Networking is about building trust or business friendships. Within the network, everyone stakes their reputation, so there is less need for verification. You wouldn't risk your reputation recommending your plumber friend if he was a bad plumber. Everyone gets to let their guard down and trust their peers.

It's funny that something so radically collectivist ends up sounding skeevy. I think it's only the case if you try to network at the last minute, to get something out of it.

stocknoob 11 hours ago [-]
Thank you for sharing. For any young programmers: live within your means, invest the difference, become independent, and work on what you enjoy. It’s the best (work related) gift you can give yourself.
pelagic_sky 16 hours ago [-]
I’m in UX with 20+ years of experience, including FAANG. I’ve been looking for new opportunities for a majority of the year and I have found that publishing blogs and case studies gets me emails from recruiters. If I try to reach out, 9 times out of 10 I get no response.
miohtama 17 hours ago [-]
I have been hiring some 30 Devs over the years and the most important positive factor is open source contributions. It's a public trac record that you cannot fake. It also shows you can communicate and work with others.

You can also get good hires and open positions thru community friends. Invest in community and community invests in you.

thw09j9m 20 hours ago [-]
My thoughts from ~ 6 weeks ago:

>> This is the toughest market I've ever seen. I easily made it to on-sites at FAANG a few years ago and now I'm getting resume rejected by no-name startups (and FAANG). The bar has also been raised significantly. I had an interview recently where I solved the algorithm question very quickly, but didn't refactor/clean up my code perfectly and was rejected.

I've since landed one decent offer, but mostly got lucky (the sys design interview was about an obscure optimization problem that I specialized in for years - though I didn't let on that fact)

Between that time, I failed multiple interviews (always solving the question, but never quickly or cleanly enough).

Companies are incredibly slow to respond back (up to 4 weeks from time of application to first interaction with a recruiter).

Some companies are incredibly demanding (recruiter screen -> tech screen -> tech screen -> take-home test -> group discussion about take-home test -> behavioral / culture interview).

Don't think it's about race. It's just an employers' market. And if you refuse to jump through the hoops, somebody else will.

For reference, the last company on my resume is a top tier company that every recruiter has heard of.

0xfaded 19 hours ago [-]
> the sys design interview was about an obscure optimization problem that I specialized in for years - though I didn't let on that fact

Honestly I feel this situation is an invitation/opportunity to show your depth. I had a similar experience where I was asked to implement a box filter, which I did naively, and then asked to do it the clever way.

I remembered about Haar classifiers https://docs.opencv.org/3.4/db/d28/tutorial_cascade_classifi... which solve the same problem, and I was familiar with the OpenCV implementation. I mentioned this and started to write code, but at that point the interviewer was much more interested about why I knew about some obscure old-school opencv method than finishing the coding exercise.

bobnamob 19 hours ago [-]
You can't just mention an obscure optimisation problem without naming it on HN, surely that breaks some site guideline somewhere
m_ke 20 hours ago [-]
Yeah the process these days is insane. I went through 4 rounds of interviews with one company, did really well and was expecting an offer but they want me to come in for a full day of onsite work mixed in with more technical rounds.

I’m interviewing with like 10 companies right now and it feels like a full time job, I have full days of interviews lined up for almost every day in the first 3 weeks on January.

cloverich 14 hours ago [-]
This is actually identical to my experience in 2021/2022 when the market was red hot. I literally did treat it as my full time job, failed a lot, but rarely had less than 4 interviews which it seems most of the good companies do.
w4ffl35 19 hours ago [-]
I've had some interviews stretch on for months and multiple interviews only to be rejected in the end. I'm just trying to concentrate on creating video games. I'll probably go get a job at a store in town soon. Pointless to keep trying in this market it seems.
theandrewbailey 23 hours ago [-]
I've been out of a job for most of the past year. While sending Merry Christmas texts to my friends, I had a conversation with one (another programmer, different technologies and industry) where he revealed he was laid off last month.

I keep applying for jobs, and recently accepted the possibility to relocate for an on site position (because staying where I am and hoping to get a remote position hasn't worked out). I just had a promising lead in Texas 'move forward with another candidate'... argh!

Companies aren't willing to train people, not even their current employees. They want their candidates to come prepackaged with at least X years experience in Y technologies for several technologies. Their unwillingness to budge created the H1B catastrophe we see now. I'm more than willing to replatform my skillset (B2C Commerce Cloud to Shopify, or Java to .NET, for example), but no one's offering.

Looking around at the big picture, it seems that most money is leaving tech to chase higher returns elsewhere. If you aren't doing AI or crypto, it feels that you're fighting over bones. The scraps were gone a long time ago.

ajb 22 hours ago [-]
And we see PG talking up H1B on twitter. I'd like to think that if he still read HN he might not do that.

Really companies should be banned from importing more people[1] if they laid off a certain number in the last year. That way the job market would be more likely to self correct.

[1] I think they should still be allowed to hire people who are already in the country on a visa, as it's unfair to make their risk of being kicked out of the country worse. And they should be allowed to renew existing visa workers

ajmurmann 20 hours ago [-]
IMO the main issue with H1B is that it makes it harder for them to move. This reduces their ability to negotiate salaries which ultimately drives the equilibrium price for everyone down.
Epa095 18 hours ago [-]
This is why unions in Europe often end up in two seemingly contradicting (but not really) positions regarding labour immigration. One is to try to limit it, and the other is to ensure that the immigrants gets as strong rights as possible if they are allowed in.
Glyptodon 21 hours ago [-]
I think it should be a decay function that looks back longer than a year.
throwaway48476 18 hours ago [-]
I think if you say you're hiring 0.01% people you should be willing to pay 0.01% salary.
2OEH8eoCRo0 18 hours ago [-]
> companies should be banned from importing more people

Reverse outsourcing. Don't send the job overseas, send the overseas person here!

steve_adams_86 20 hours ago [-]
An argument against not being allowed to import more people after layoffs (and it’s the one people like PG and Musk are making) is that the people who were laid off simply don’t have the skills required to allow companies to succeed.

They need to import labor because the domestic labor pool isn’t good enough. A quieter part is that people immigrating also expect less for their outputs.

akmarinov 19 hours ago [-]
How can that be true though?

Are you and Elon saying that India’s education system and universities are just plain better than MIT, Stanford, etc? If so - why are so many studying abroad in places like Canada and Australia?

If not, then are Indians just genetically smarter than Americans, so that their pool is better?

It just seems like immigrants are willing to work more for less, so that in the future when they’re citizens, they can work less for more.

steve_adams_86 14 hours ago [-]
Sorry, I wasn’t making a case for that argument. I’m only pointing out that it exists, it’s a prominent way of thinking, and it’s worth considering.

I don’t personally subscribe to that belief.

My position is more so that wealthy, powerful people stand to gain a lot by disempowering their workforce, and they’re working hard to do just that. People like Elon would love to see cheap labour and AI beset the workforce such that it had no leverage and lower wages. He has said about as much in various ways already.

I’m a little disappointed that my comment wasn’t voted down more, because I really did phrase it as my own opinion.

w4ffl35 16 hours ago [-]
Working more for less is the issue, that's exactly what this boils down to.
steve_adams_86 14 hours ago [-]
Yes, it’s a major component at least. I’ve wondered if there should be protections against this to maintain some baseline of safety for people’s workloads, but that would never fly in North America as far as I can tell. And it could actually harm some people who legitimately need to work overtime to take care of their families.
ajb 19 hours ago [-]
Mass layoffs are generally not that discriminating. Because they don't want the news to leak in advance, it's usually a circle of the top brass and the HR department that decides who goes. And with mass layoffs, it's usually entire teams not just people who were on performance plans. Hence, I don't think their argument is good. I have little against importing talent when there is a shortage[1], but mass layoffs are good evidence that there is not.

[1] Well, except when the country fails to invest enough in education and training. It's wrong for the UK, for example, to consistently not fund enough medical students, and make up for it by importing staff educated by third world countries.

ajmurmann 20 hours ago [-]
And once they are hear the H1B somewhat locks then into an employer gutter damping salaries
wsintra2022 15 hours ago [-]
It’s spelt here. To hear means to use your ears.
abnercoimbre 13 hours ago [-]
Small tangent but I’ve seen a sharp increase in typos in the front page comments throughout December. Very surprising to me (I’ve been here since 2016.)
artistic_regard 12 hours ago [-]
[dead]
danieldk 20 hours ago [-]
If you aren't doing AI or crypto, it feels that you're fighting over bones.

Getting jobs in AI has also been hard for a lot of people as well. Many of my former colleagues who worked for a very visible company in the ML/NLP space have had issues finding good positions.

fredfoo 19 hours ago [-]
I think these are businesses development directions everyone talks about but are almost guaranteed to be a flop for any company that isn't already known in them. A few years ago everyone talked about big data hires even if they had about a GB of relevant data.
pfdietz 19 hours ago [-]
I wonder how much of this is due to the end of semiconductor scaling. At some point, if hardware performance-per-cost doesn't increase, things will stabilize and new applications will dry up. The computer industry could become like, say, the machine tool industry. Important, but not a source of runaway profits.
w4ffl35 23 hours ago [-]
That has been my experience as well.
mxuribe 22 hours ago [-]
You are not alone!
underseacables 22 hours ago [-]
I think companies do this deliberately to avoid hiring Americans. The entire H1-B scheme is a disaster.
Yoric 21 hours ago [-]
I'm probably going to be unpopular, but as a non-American, I actually find that hiring non-American is a good trend, especially if you want to sell all around the world. I don't have an opinion on H1-B specifically.
disambiguation 9 hours ago [-]
I guess everyone has a different idea of what's good. I find most people consider something good if it works out for them, and no more thought is given to the issue.

As for Americans, I think they have to question what their taxes are doing for them? They grow up receiving a sub-standard public education, they take on an enormous amount of debt to get higher education, and when they reach adulthood, the job market unceremoniously has nothing to offer them because its all being given away to non-americans.

What's the point of a nation anyway? What's a government's job? Maybe nationhood is an outdated idea and we should all bow to corporate overlords instead.

binary132 40 minutes ago [-]
I think at this point Americans need to be questioning the partnership between the major capital interests and the major political parties. We all know we’re getting screwed, but the parties are adept at keeping us blaming each other and playing tug of war while they get away with whatever their sponsors want, more or less. It’s not a problem that’s going to get solved by a Democrat or Republican supermajority in Congress, control over the Supreme Court, or control of all branches of government.
binary132 20 hours ago [-]
do you feel that employers in your home country should also follow this rubric?
maeil 19 hours ago [-]
Software ones? Absolutely.

Companies selling physical goods lead to a decent amount of jobs in every country they operate in by definition. Not so for software.

It is US big tech who has for a decade or 2 reaped enormous benefits from extracting large sums of money from non-US economies while contributing near-zero back to those economies (often not just near-zero but straight up deeply negative amounts due to externalities).

EliBullockPapa 18 hours ago [-]
What do you mean? Only way I can think of is social media advertising revenue going to big tech instead of local media. But a net negative effect on non-US economies seems hard to believe.
maeil 6 hours ago [-]
Every euro/yen/.. spent by German/Japanese/.. residents on US tech is one that goes to big tech. Every minute spent consuming US tech (Meta et al) is one spent not consuming something that benefits local society.

Enormous net negative, and I'm lucky enough to be part of the poster child society that shows just how much better the alternative is: South Korea. And even here people still use lots of US tech (Instagram is huge), just much less of it, in every case at massive net benefit to Korean society as a whole.

binary132 56 minutes ago [-]
I am not aware of the South Korean software ecosystem, can you share a bit more info or point us to some? It sounds cool, I’m very interested in localized economies and software.
Yoric 14 hours ago [-]
How much money does country X spend paying Windows or MS Office or Photoshop, simply as the cost of doing business? And it's not that any other country couldn't – technologically – come up with a competitor to Windows, MS Office or Photoshop, it's that it is basically impossible for a non-US product to gain any traction in the tech world, for reasons that are both economical and legal. In fact, in many tech domains, the best that a non-US company can hope for if they want their product to be successful is to be bought by a US company.

Seen from the rest of the world, the has spent the last few decades killing the software and hardware industry of everybody else through practices that feel very much like a combination of a tax on tech and an abuse of monopoly.

If you wonder, the rest of the world doesn't quite see any difference between the "unfair" practices of which US Conservatives accuse China and the practices that the US has adopted for the last 40+ years in a number of domains when it comes to becoming/remaining the dominant player in a number of fields.

binary132 18 hours ago [-]
what does that have to do with whether US employers should prioritize non-US labor?
Yoric 19 hours ago [-]
I'm afraid I don't understand what rubric you're talking of. Are you asking me whether employers across the world should read HN? Or is that an autocorrect typo for "rule"?

If the latter, yes, certainly. My last two employers had to hire US and Canadian developers anyway just to be able to sell to the US/Canada, so I guess it's already the case.

binary132 18 hours ago [-]
a rubric is a general rule, template, or standard yes
Yoric 14 hours ago [-]
Never seen the word used in that sense.

As far as me or my dictionary are concerned, a rubric is a category, or perhaps a chapter. :shrug:

slake 9 hours ago [-]
Even Indian software firms have begun to hire in Vietnam since they work 1.3x as hard for half the pay that an Indian does.
BinaryMachine 20 hours ago [-]
You're definitely not alone. (I am glad you're writing this because I thought I was alone here as well)

I am currently applying to ~15 jobs a day starting late Sep till now mostly on Linkedin. I know it might not be the best time to look due to holidays. When wake up the next day finding 3-5 "decided not to move forward" So then I think theres something wrong with my resume? So I update it a little each day, its an unless cycle I have probability done this 50+ times now? Also seeing 100+ job applicants even after the job posting has been up for only a few hours.

Also approaching 2 decades of experience, also white American (they always ask on applying). I have a bachelors degree but its in Interactive Media taught myself everything else.

I am one month away to moving back home with my brother because I can only afford another one month rent on Credit Card until its maxed out.

Free time I just spend it learning learning learning, and an hour gym routine helps with stress. I try not to think about the situation that I am in or the job market.

All we can do is try our best everyday, theres only so much we can do and stressing out is the worst thing for the mind/body.

throwawayhn2024 21 hours ago [-]
I was let go from my last job. Also no CS degree. Had no LinkedIn either (deleted years ago). Had to create a resume from scratch. The only thing I had was about a decade of experience.

I started by creating a resume and LinkedIn and aggressively optimized both as much as possible. Using a ATS checker I found online, I got a score of 96 for my resume after numerous changes (29 changes after a few weeks).

I started applying aggressively (and tracking) immediately after being let go. I’m pretty sure early rejections were because my resume was awful.

After nearly 2 months, 588 applications, with an average 10% response rate within an average of 10 days per response, I had 16 move to interview stages and 2 final offers. I accepted one of them (it checked all my boxes for what I wanted so didn’t have to compromise). I had 3 referrals but none of those materialized to interviews or offers. I did not work with any recruiters.

Market is bad, no doubt about that. I can’t speak to the experience of others but I’m convinced my response rate is good enough and it’s a numbers game.

This happened earlier this year.

Some stats for those who think it may influence my results:

40s Asian male. US Citizen. So no VISA needed and not white and don’t check any DEI boxes.

This is for Senior SWE IC role.

skillissuz 19 hours ago [-]
+1 love to see a comment written by an actual human programmer

It's always been a numbers game. The people writing this posts you don't want to work with. Think about it, would you write this post (you the reader, not you throwaway guy I'm replying to)? Top commenter entitled guy with "Ivy League" degree who probably did everything right in school but cannot code.

atrettel 17 hours ago [-]
I have to second the general notion that this is a numbers game. My own statistics right now show that for every 100 applications, I get 12 applications with at least one interview, and 3.5 applications with an offer. Those numbers are not great but statistically, if you apply to enough jobs, you can see that you have a good shot of getting at least one offer. Of course, that may require hundreds of hours of work. But if you calculate the odds yourself, you can see there is an end in sight, even if it is quite far away.
camdenreslink 10 hours ago [-]
Those were basically my exact application/interview/offer ratios when I last went through a job hunt. I can confirm it is basically a numbers game unless you have specific networked connections that can give referrals (and even then if the hiring manager doesn't like the look of your resume it doesn't really matter).
pickpuck 20 hours ago [-]
Can you link to the ATS checker please?
RGamma 19 hours ago [-]
Beware that it may be just another data kraken.
21 hours ago [-]
nicbou 23 hours ago [-]
I’m self-employed so I don’t have personal experience, but all around me (in Berlin) people are struggling to find work. I have more unemployed friends than ever and they stay unemployed for longer than ever. Others are afraid to risk their job in any way. Employers got bolder in their demands and English-speaking workers are fighting for scraps. The UX industry is absolutely cutthroat right now.

I work in immigration and my colleagues in the industry noticed the difference in skilled immigration. It even affected the overpriced temporary housing market that mostly targeted skilled immigrant workers. Freelance relocation consultants report having their worst year on record.

I also noticed a dip in traffic but it might be caused by Google’s plundering of the web with its AI summaries. I can’t tell if the actual demand changed. I run a website that helps immigrants settle.

It’s generally accepted in Germany that things are not great right now. I could likely find matching evidence in yearly reports, but the vibe alone is telling.

radiator 19 hours ago [-]
Germany always was an importer of energy, and a couple of years ago it decided to replace energy imports from Russia with imports from other countries. Many had warned that this would hurt the country's economy. Even those who were, and still are, in charge acknowledged the fact. But they prefer it this way.
Sammi 1 hours ago [-]
Germans have committed economic suicide by relying on russian natural gas and closing their nuclear power plants. Germany is an example of how expensive electricity kills an economy.
throwaway48476 18 hours ago [-]
France is also an energy importer but they built nuclear power so that they couldn't be held hostage. Unfortunately the German government was run by former east German communists who didn't mind being held hostage.
w4ffl35 23 hours ago [-]
Sounds like its a problem everywhere, not just the states.
RGamma 23 hours ago [-]
And it's not just in programming-related jobs either. Parts of industry and the blue collar market are shitting themselves in Germany right now.

Two people I know have been let go (pumps and wood sectors resp.). Another (metal construction) is getting barely more than minimum wage. There's only one dude (chemical engineer) who is doing well (nearing 100k at 5 years work experience). The others are getting by.

Politicians are still complaining about Fachkräftemangel, skilled labor shortage, but it's really a wage slave shortage.

odiroot 17 hours ago [-]
> And it's not just in programming-related jobs either. Parts of industry and the blue collar market are shitting themselves in Germany right now.

> Politicians are still complaining about Fachkräftemangel,

These two things can be, and in fact are right now true at the same time.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Structural_unemployment

Everyone coming from an ex-Warsaw-Pact country most probably already lived through that before. We've entered the market economy (and stopped the play-pretend) with huge unemployment and lack of skilled workers at the same time.

brtkdotse 22 hours ago [-]
> Fachkräftemangel

Why is this German word thrown in without any explanation? I’ve noticed this is a common trend whenever a Germany-adjacent topic is discussed.

nicbou 22 hours ago [-]
It was on everyone’s lips for a few years, to the point that it had become the placeholder for the entire meme.

The short version is that there is a shortage of skilled workers that absolutely requires immigrants to fill the gaps. However when you look around there isn’t really a shortage; people just aren’t willing to work for little pay. The English term implies that there is an actual shortage.

It might please you to know just how much English other languages are peppered with.

fabianholzer 5 hours ago [-]
It's being used in the German political discourse since at least the first term of the Schröder government in the late 1990es, which is about where I started following the news and politics more closely. It has been used cynically as justification for every thinkable cut into the social system ever since, from lobbying against a minimum wage to moving up the retirement age. You won't find many people, except for politicians and lobbyists, that'll still use the term unironically. It seems there are remarkable parallels on the other side of the Atlantic ocean.
missedthecue 20 hours ago [-]
Does this imply that people would rather be broke than work for less pay than they want? How are they paying rent each month?
nicbou 6 hours ago [-]
Unemployment benefits cover 60% of your income for up to 12 months. It’s more sensible to find another appropriate job than to work in a low wage job.
lifestyleguru 20 hours ago [-]
Less pay in EU means working to afford only the rent, bills, and groceries. One is better off doing nothing professionally and living off their savings. Well, the 2025 is going to be interesting....
romanows 22 hours ago [-]
I had to look it up; for others, it means "skilled worker shortage".
Izkata 19 hours ago [-]
Unless they edited it in afterwards, they are translating it. That's what the two-comma asides are, explanations/clarifications.
RGamma 18 hours ago [-]
I edited it in, sorry for the confusion.
layer8 19 hours ago [-]
On the other hand, craftsmen are in high demand and make good money, but not too many people seem to be keen on that kind of career.
RGamma 18 hours ago [-]
You hear this or that in Germany. Demand yes, pay meh.

It's probably true if you own the company, but there's also disgruntled folks who apparently got treated like shit during their apprenticeship and who snicker at their former employers or dissuade would-be prospects when their field isn't doing well (boohoo poor Porsche drivers) or when they try to advertise a craft. At least the YT comments under several blue collar documentaries/adverts say so, but I know none personally.

Then there's an ongoing crisis in construction due to widespread financing problems (need two decently paid full time earners, no kids, to afford it with some certainty and no 30+ year debt slavery at least around where I live) and assorted crafts.

An electrician friend is doing okay, but not exactly great, at barely more than 40k pre-tax per year. Another one who is farmer on the side (can't afford to live from it) makes about as much in his profession (mechanic). I.e. forget single earner family and/or mortgage.

It's difficult to gauge accurately, because statistics are complicated and/or shit and/or biased, the employment situation highly depends on region and field and things seem to be changing at a crazy pace, not least caused by the recent economic shocks (war, COVID, a decade+ of QE), problems with funding pensions/bad demography, increasing competition in core industries, high energy prices and political indecisiveness. How much each factor contributes remains a mystery to me. Wealth m/billionaires seem to be growing fine.

Personally I'm more and more convinced there's no conspiracy and things really are as bad... The Japanification of Germany. At least our debt isn't as high yet.

rukuu001 18 hours ago [-]
Same in Australia. I’m at a startup involved with placing people on digital projects.

I see a lot of amazing people struggling in the market right now. This is mirrored by a general slowdown in actual project spend by businesses.

Locally, there has been a very very minor uptick in activity prior to Christmas which is a historically weird time for that to happen, so I’m slightly optimistic for the new year.

But the last 12 months have been very tough.

speakfreely 20 hours ago [-]
Germany is facing more intense economic challenges than most.
ajmurmann 20 hours ago [-]
Can someone explain why this is getting down votes? AFAIK it's true and relevant
layer8 18 hours ago [-]
Probably because Germany’s standard of living is still comparatively high.
obscurette 20 hours ago [-]
In Europe it's a little bit different though in my opinion. Here most of industries have been just regulated to death, a money is leaving and things fall apart like house of cards. And EU thinks that the answer is ... more regulations.
sunshine-o 21 hours ago [-]
I am wondering if this is not just "normal".

If we look back tech jobs have been growing fast since at least the 90s.

We have basically put everything on computer and the internet in the last decades with some obvious efficiency gains. But how far should we continue to invest in this and expecting a return on investment?

At the same time, in the west, agriculture or manufacturing jobs have been annihilated. Could they see that coming?

Probably no as it was not that obvious from their point of view.

At least in the west, first world or whatever you want to call it, most people need cheaper housing, cheaper energy, less taxes and bureaucracy. This is just what most young people complain about.

People do not complain they need more computers, smart thing or self driving cars. They might actually need less of this but still consume it because it is in fact the things they can afford.

Also in the EU there is a growing and undeniable regulatory framework which is destroying the local tech industry.

What I mean is we could see the type of shift that you only see once in a lifetime. Where computer tech see the same fate as agriculture and manufacturing had.

Hard to tell if this is just a hiccup or the start of the destruction of the tech jobs market.

jt2190 21 hours ago [-]
Remember that two things have changed the employment landscape:

- the end of zero interest rate policies mean that investments in projects can’t show a return “someday” but actually have to show some benefit on a reasonable timeline, say 2-3 years. Gone are the days when hiring armies of warm bloodies and having them work on “moon shots”.

- the expiration of the tax write off for programmer salaries when developing a new product.

The bottom line is that most of the market is now very price sensitive (hence trying to find the cheapest labor i.e. less experienced or overseas devs) and that devs in high-cost geographic areas now need to be extra productive to complete.

SoftTalker 20 hours ago [-]
Also there's going to be very little sympathy if people who have been earning 6-7 figure salaries working in their pajamas for the past decade are now going through a rough patch.
verzali 19 hours ago [-]
Reminds me a bit of 2008, when I'd regularly encounter recently laid off bankers getting drunk and bemoaning their situation with some passion. It was hard to have much sympathy for people who'd earned enormous salaries and somehow failed to put any aside for an emergency...
i_have_an_idea 14 hours ago [-]
Then, just like now, a lot of the hardest hit people were junior employees that hardly had many years of enormous salaries but mostly had student loans, junior pay and large one-off expenses like moving into a major population center and trying to rent an apartment.
AgentOrange1234 17 hours ago [-]
Shrug. I’ve done a lot of intensely creative work in my pajamas. I’ve burned a lot of unproductive hours on commuting and pointless in-person meetings.
tarsinge 17 hours ago [-]
I fear end of ZIRP has even worst implications. I’ve got a feeling it’s not just the tech job market that is bad, but the tech industry as a whole was too circular, doing B2B with other tech companies (maybe there is a better word?) all fueled by free money and the house of cards crumbled.
nirav72 13 hours ago [-]
Don't think its just in tech. My wife is in the pharma industry on the research side. Just couple of years ago, she would have recruiters cold-calling her at least 2-3 times a week. She was part of a mass layoff back in spring,2024 when her entire team got axed. Almost took her 5 months and several rounds of interview before she landed two offers. Her background at one point allowed her to pick and choose were she wanted to work. Now that's not the case anymore. It's an employers market right now. I don't see that changing anytime soon.
irvingprime 19 hours ago [-]
The longest period of unemployment I've ever experienced ended about 6 months ago. I was unemployed for 11 months. The company that finally hired me was intentionally targeting people with lots of experience. I have that. They also pay less than I used to make but I took it because I needed a job.

Previous to that period of unemployment, my resume tended to get noticed. I got interviews from 3 applications out of 5. But this time, it was 3 out of 150.

Read that last paragraph again. My resume has not gotten worse. I still have decades of experience, a master's degree and a bunch of patents. That used to count for something.

My conclusion is that the market has gotten much worse for people with experience who don't hide being white and male.

Epa095 18 hours ago [-]
Why do you think the white male part is relevant? This is meant as an honest question. I know DEI is a thing, but it kind of already seems a bit out of fashion, and do we have any reason to believe that the labour market is easier for a Muslim woman?

Idk, for me occams razor tells me that the labour market is just a bit shit for all genders and races at the moment..

w4ffl35 1 hours ago [-]
It would be nice if people who are white males (and frankly everyone else) could include their demographic without someone complaining tha they had done so. That's one of the things I was hoping to gather with this post in the first place as I am doing research on this topic.
bdangubic 16 hours ago [-]
but white males are not used to this type of job market :)

hence now being white male is what must be a problem (though you offer them $10 million to change color of the skin and gender and there will not be a single taker … too funny …)

vaseline 13 hours ago [-]
What is the DEI thing?

35, West African Immigrant (US Citizen), 12 Years of experience. Currently at Yr 4 at Fortune 500 Tech Company (Prior at Consulting). Bachelor Non-Stem. Customer Success/Implementations, Technical.

I've been applying since Feb 2024. 47 External, 5 Internal, 6 HR Screens, 6 Phone Interviews, 6 (3+ Rounds) and 6 Rejections.

No AI just careful tweaks for each submission so its time intensive but I feel like its tough for everyone.

throwaway284534 17 hours ago [-]
If it’s any consolation, I haven’t gotten any favors as a trans woman, even with “passing privilege.” Both myself and the cis women in tech I know all hear the same thing: companies are tipping the scales to favor diversity hires. But in truth it seems to be a marketing tactic rather than a hiring strategy.

It’s quite bizarre at all levels — I often receive invitations from recruiters to apply to “women led startups”, but when I ask why I’m qualified there’s no real explanation other than I’m a woman who owns a computer. The same seems to be true of female founded startups. Doesn’t matter what the role is or what’s being built — Does she use a computer while in an office building? That’s women in tech! The purpose of most of these interviews is really about manufacturing consent: “It’s just too hard to hire women! Just look how hard we’ve tried!” I’m all for incentivizing under represented groups, but it wouldn’t be so bad if the phrase “women in tech” was short hand for “women who have written a lot code” and less about “brave women who uses their yonic powers to guide the brutish male code monkeys.” Attend a FAANG sponsored women centric event and you’ll see that I’m only exaggerating a little bit.

Ironically, my transition has been something like a rendition of Gift of the Magi: The more passable I became, the less experienced I was perceived by my peers. And worse, what was once thought of as confident display of technical ability is now seen as a lack of demure. Insecurity runs deep in this industry.

IMO the hiring problem isn’t about gender or race. It’s the fact that tech doesn’t have the luxury of an economic environment where all the money is imaginary. There’s really no era quite like the last two decades. Tech companies could burn through billions of dollars on intangible assets with no immediate need for deliverables. As the perception of innovation diminishes, companies feigned cutting edge leadership by leaning into the virtues, and as a byproduct, having the employees fight over who’s more oppressed.

I think everyone here has questioned if their skill set is actually worth their salary. “Sure, sometimes it’s a free ride, but those hard sprints are really why I’m paid six figures!” — It’s explanations like that which let software engineers hit the snooze bar on whether their employer’s solvency is transitive of their technical expertise, or rather just two decades of zero interest rate policies. It’s likely a little bit of the former and a lot more of the latter.

IMO most engineers are looking through the wrong end of the telescope, trying to find a job like the dating you do when you’re looking for a comfortable but uncommitted relationship. That time is over and our jobs are now akin to the blue collar trades who’s customers have a clear idea of what they’re paying you for, rather than a vague set of technical skills that might be worth exploring on their dime.

kragen 5 hours ago [-]
> The more passable I became, the less experienced I was perceived by my peers. And worse, what was once thought of as confident display of technical ability is now seen as a lack of demure.

This is very valuable information, thank you. Most of us only ever have the chance to experience the situation from the vantage point of one gender. Are you in the US, or what?

unitol 2 hours ago [-]
His vantage point is still that of a male.

Furthermore, these males usually have a very inaccurate understanding of how well they masquerade as women in real life, without filters and flattering camera angles.

I very much doubt he's being perceived as a woman by interviewers or colleagues.

intelVISA 19 hours ago [-]
Taking your conclusion in good faith, would you really want to work in a shop that weighs immutable characteristics over actionable metrics like solving LC hards?
w4ffl35 19 hours ago [-]
yes, because I like food better than principles.
iamdbtoo 17 hours ago [-]
> My conclusion is that the market has gotten much worse for people with experience who don't hide being white and male.

Really? Mine is that companies value experience less.

BadCookie 13 hours ago [-]
DEI peaked in 2020-21. Please stop blaming women and other races for the tech downturn. You are barking up the wrong tree.
9 hours ago [-]
skillissuz 19 hours ago [-]
[flagged]
melbourne_mat 17 hours ago [-]
Maybe it's a cultural thing but to me this comes across as racist
wsintra2022 15 hours ago [-]
I think it may be, depends on how much of a sense of humour you have. The offensive part suggesting smoking weed in large amounts can make your eyes look half closed. The punchline being Asians are not white males and Asians also (some of them) have eye shapes that do not look like white males.
stouset 18 hours ago [-]
> most of them claim to be white males

There’s really no need to call this out repeatedly as if something sinister is happening. Despite ongoing efforts, the overwhelming majority of tech workers are… white males. So yes, the largest number of voices complaining about joblessness are unsurprisingly going to be white males.

afpx 17 hours ago [-]
Nah, there’s definitely racism from asian hiring managers.

It’s not totally unexpected, though. Unlike us white males, most of them haven’t been trained from birth to not prefer candidates that look like them.

If you disagree though, I challenge you to go on linkedin and randomly choose 10 asian hiring managers from tech companies and then the demographics of the people who work for them.

w4ffl35 1 hours ago [-]
Asking about "white males" because I'm seeing claims that white males are being disproportionately affected. I haven't made the claim myself. I'm a white male so my experiences are based on that demographic.are the majority of tech workers white males? Can you show me stats on this? Is there a site I can view thst shows demographic data?
ungreased0675 9 minutes ago [-]
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2023-black-lives-matter-e... Maybe not as comprehensive a stat as we’d like, but here’s one data point.

> In 2021, Hispanic, Asian and Black people made up a vast majority of the added workers

wakawaka28 17 hours ago [-]
Two things can be true at once. We have a workforce that is mostly white males in a majority-white country and we also have credible reports of anti-white bias in hiring, which is illegal and racist. If people feel that employers who explicitly say they want to hire non-whites ONLY in violation of the law are in fact doing that, why do you feel the need to chime in with attacks on the victims?
pmarreck 22 hours ago [-]
Wherever there is difficulty, there is also opportunity.

I think the major thing stopping people from just going their own way is healthcare coverage. (Correct me if I'm wrong.)

I wonder if I can hack a business model that somehow provides healthcare but also gathers together sourced projects, and freelancers to bid on building them, while also getting healthcare. (And if you opt out of healthcare, you can take the difference. Maybe.) It may not result in 100% employment, but it could potentially provide a source of income while looking for something more fulltime. And I would help coordinate, while also vetting people.

Also, not sure if related to the difficulty in tech, but it might depend on your ethnicity, and not in the way you might think: https://fox11online.com/news/nation-world/major-us-companies...

snowwrestler 22 hours ago [-]
I’m somewhat dubious that healthcare is the biggest impediment to doing a startup today, because of the Affordable Care Act. It certainly seems to have helped supercharge the “FIRE” (financial independence, retire early) movement—another set of working-age people who need healthcare without employment.

I think a lot of engineers just want to engineer. Leading a startup quickly becomes mostly business stuff like finance, marketing, sales, hiring, etc. You need a business model, not just tech know-how. Starting your own business is definitely not the same job as staff engineer at an established business. It’s not for everyone.

mxuribe 22 hours ago [-]
> ...I think the major thing stopping people from just going their own way is healthcare coverage...

i agree. Tying healthcare to employment limits things in several ways. What if, instead of starting my own business, i wanted to work 2 different part time jobs for 2 different employers? Maybe 1 of them is a rather low-paying job at a non-profit, and another is some tech-related job...well, even if enough of my poay is covered between both jobs, what would i do about healthcare? Yes, i know about the Affordable Care Act, but its been watered down by the powers that be who don't care about proper healthcare for everyone, etc. I think if the ACA in its original form were to have been launched, maybe it would have set us on a better trajectory - at least for more universal coverage which isn't tied to employment...then, at that point, Americans can choose their own adventure from an employment perspective (assuming they have the proper skills for whichever career adventure they undertook) - either work for someone else (or work for several different bosses), or work for themselves.

sxp 21 hours ago [-]
Health insurance isn't /that/ big of an issue due to Obamacare and similar state programs. Yes, could have to pay almost $1k/mo to get insurance, but it's just one more expense along with rent, food, etc. It is more expensive than getting healthcare via an employer due to tax breaks, group negotiations, etc, it shouldn't stop people from going solo if they just treat it as another expense.
handzhiev 20 hours ago [-]
I don't think healthcare alone is stopping people from going on their own. What could a developer do on their own? Start a startup? Extremely hard and risky. Freelancing? Requires marketing and lots of other stuff most of us suck at. And the freelancing market isn't that much better now either.
doctorpangloss 22 hours ago [-]
There is some truth to healthcare coverage, but 26 and under are covered by their parents. They’re the hard to fill junior roles anyway.

IMO, people want way too much fucking money.

collingreen 20 hours ago [-]
Want and need way too much money. Cost of living is wild everywhere and cost of a lifestyle we used to consider "standard" (family, home ownership, kids can go to college, annual vacation, usually on one salary) is out of reach for most now.

Looking at the numbers for the decline in spending power over time is sobering.

StanislavPetrov 11 hours ago [-]
Why does everyone assume young people's parents have healthcare coverage?
ajmurmann 20 hours ago [-]
I've been taking some time off to learn, travel and work on my own projects. Going in I was very worried about healthcare. It turned out cheaper than expected. What worried me more is that I want able to get disability insurance at all.
notfried 22 hours ago [-]
I see this as a combination of three forces at play: AI, WFH, and Skillset--all adding downward pressure to hiring talent in the U.S.:

1) While A.I. may now be only adding 10-20% of productivity gains, the rapid pace of improvement leaves open the possibility that tha gains can be soon much more than that. So, instead of scaling your company now, if you can afford to, wait out a bit and see where this goes.

2) Even though much of BigTech is clawing back WFH, startups aren't as much. And once you introduce WFH to your culture and processes, it is hard to reason with the idea that you should pay $200K/year for an engineer when it can cost you a fraction (possibly 20-50% of that) to hire them remotely from another country, when also nowadays most of these remote employees are more than willing to work in EST/PST timezones. This used to be the case before COVID, but now many more startups have accepted and adapted to the idea of WFH.

3) While advanced skillsets and deep experience is necessary in many (but not most) startups, and while these skills are more difficult to find in India or Pakistan, the reality is, for many, many tech companies, most of the work doesn't require top-notch skills. You don't need a top 99% percentile in frontend engineering skills for a 1-year-old "name whatever category" app. And with the recent rise of focus on profitability, frugality, and the difficulty in fund-raising, being cognizant of cost per talent is now a thing.

I think Elon and Vivek's comments are more nuanced than they are taken. Elon, given he's at the cutting edge of engineering, must be having difficulty hiring top-99.9%-percentile talent against BigTech, and wants to open the pool of these types of talent from elsewhere. I don't think he wants H1Bs for React Native engineers. I am interpreting his comments as "I want to suck-in all A.I. researchers into America".

blandcoffee 21 hours ago [-]
| I think Elon and Vivek's comments are more nuanced than they are taken.

If they are, they have the platform to provide that nuance. Take a look at the public H1B data for Tesla (disclaimer it doesn't tell the full story), it does not seem like they are vying for the top-99.9%.

It seems odd we're giving billionaires the benefit of the doubt. They are positioning themselves to win, and that's totally fine in the system we're in, but let's not assume they are friends of the working class.

Yoric 19 hours ago [-]
> 3) While advanced skillsets and deep experience is necessary in many (but not most) startups, and while these skills are more difficult to find in India or Pakistan, the reality is, for many, many tech companies, most of the work doesn't require top-notch skills. You don't need a top 99% percentile in frontend engineering skills for a 1-year-old "name whatever category" app. And with the recent rise of focus on profitability, frugality, and the difficulty in fund-raising, being cognizant of cost per talent is now a thing.

a. Note that "outside of the US" covers more than India and Pakistan. Google, Microsoft, Meta, etc. all have sizeable research or R&D centers in France, Germany, Switzerland, Ireland, UK, etc. Most of these countries have engineers of a level comparable (better by some metrics, worse by others) to US engineers.

b. I've known several top-notch programmers from India. One of them is an important contributor to the Linux kernel, another to the core of Firefox. I have no clue how common that is, but be wary of stereotypes.

stefan_ 19 hours ago [-]
H1B has been around for a while now. It can't take more than a moment of original research to realize it's vastly used for junior roles & a large percentage of consulting outsourcing houses who charge much, pay little and deliver nothing.
scottiescottie 21 hours ago [-]
h1bdata.info, check Elon's companies.

X Corp pays 150k for swe i in san francisco.

I'd be happy with the starting salary, but not there.

w4ffl35 21 hours ago [-]
Elon told people to "go fk yourself in the face" over H-1B. Doesn't seem very nuanced to me.
Havoc 20 hours ago [-]
Think it's a confluence of a couple separate things:

* End of ZIRP

* Musk's twitter firing spree being watched & emulated by others. i.e. there was rest & vest happening & execs realised some fat can be cut

* Bootcamp generation has moved beyond entry level and is now competing with more established players

* Entire thing just naturally goes in waves

* More fractured/specialised field. Language/Framework/Job description feels like things are more granularly sliced these days

* AI whether real or illusionary has some execs focused on things other than "lets hire humans"

pfdietz 19 hours ago [-]
* End of Moore's Law
neom 20 hours ago [-]
I know you specifically said you don't have a degree, but never the less the comment section gives me mega flashbacks to what happened with MBAs around 2010/2013. Same pattern.... everyone had been pushing MBAs as the "good" career path, schools were pumping out grads, and then the music stopped. I watched friends who dropped $150k+ on top MBA programs struggle to land jobs that would let them pay off their loans. The career offices kept pushing the "average starting salary" stats but those numbers were getting propped up by a small number of graduates landing PE/consulting gigs while a much larger group was fighting for corporate roles paying half that. The MBA eventually found a new equilibrium but the "MBA golden age" was over. Starting to feel like we're watching the same movie with tech, the industry isn't dying but the days of "learn to code" being a pretty safe path to upper middle class might very well be ending. As with any concentration, the smartest MBA grads I knew were the ones who treated it as a tool to build actual skills rather than just a credential.
gavinhoward 22 hours ago [-]
I haven't been able to get a job since the pandemic.

The problem is that I work best as a lone wolf, and that's not how software is done nowadays. For good reason, I might add, so I am not complaining.

Don't make my mistake and learn your soft skills.

https://gavinhoward.com/2024/06/my-programming-journey/

turtleyacht 18 hours ago [-]
Thank-you. Also found your article on C and discipline helpful:

https://gavinhoward.com/2023/02/why-i-use-c-when-i-believe-i...

If I could go back, I would have started working in C and building (reinventing) all the other ideas. Building your own language and compiler surely is the just fruits of an earnest programming life.

It's not unlike plain Javascript where code patterns become the unit of work [1][2], where keywords in other languages would otherwise suffice.

The shelves have books on C and Deitel, hacking, drawing, and architecture too. I hope some of them sort of combine. I don't know the recipe to bring about a kernel hacker, but hope it can all be absorbed in a decade or two.

[1] Reliable Javascript (2015)

[2] Javascript Patterns (2010)

gavinhoward 17 hours ago [-]
Thank you for your kind words!
dddrh 19 hours ago [-]
Adding a topline response echoing the same thing.

Been on the job hunt since October 1, and have done hundreds of applications, yet only spoken to 3 companies, and made it past the hiring manager once.

I’m a technical product manager with 10+ years and most recently was head of product at a healthtech company. It seems like none of my experience or background matters for the initial screen.

The most frustrating part has been spending time to update a resume and a cover letter to get a rapid rejection obviously done via AI. The fastest rejection I’ve received was 2 minutes.

It is at the point where the information-asymmetry between company and applicant is so high that I don’t think it is worth the time or effort to craft a customized resume and cover letter to match the job description. Not even with the “help” of LLMs.

The promise of Remote hiring now is proving to be a double-edged sword. It can be easier to get hired, but it means competing in an almost global applicant pool.

As a way to keep me occupied I’m building a personal tool to journal my work history and use the journal as a source to leverage an LLM to customize my resume and cover letter to a job description that sounds like me. Just need to keep the momentum up for both the continued job hunt and personal projects.

Though its starting to wear on me.

istorical 18 hours ago [-]
Have you tried just saying you're a product manager instead of technical product manager? In my experience small changes in storytelling and self-marketing can create giant shifts in how you are perceived.
dddrh 12 hours ago [-]
Actually yes! In this case it was lazy shorthand.

Same result for the job hunt progress but persisting still.

I appreciate the feedback greatly. I’m sure there is a way to tell the story better.

throwaway847492 22 hours ago [-]
Creating a throwaway account for simplicity. I was/am a hiring manager, mostly for startups.

Market is rough right now for sure but I also want to share some flags I’d personally note when looking at your website / LinkedIn.

1. You have experience in a lot of technologies, which sometimes is good, but can also be the case where you don’t have expertise in any of them. 2. According to LinkedIn since 2016 most of your gigs were about a year long. You also had a lead engineer gig that lasted eight months. I’m sure you put more info about it in your resume but it’s a pretty big flag considering that it spans not only the downturn but boom periods as well. 3. No well known companies in your list. I know it sucks that pedigree matters so much in our industry but it does. 4. Political posts / complaining on LinkedIn. Having dealt with political stuff at work (from both sides of the isle) it’s such a pain in the ass that my risk management alert kicks in. 5. I see you’re in Denver. Are you applying only for remote gigs? Sadly, a lot of companies are doing RTO and probably not in your area.

Hope this helps a bit. Hope things improve for you soon.

Insanity 22 hours ago [-]
Anecdotally.. but not really. I was worried about the job market but this was unfounded, for me... I started applying in October and had four offers from large tech companies by end of November. A lot of this was through networking to be fair, not “cold applying” (1 was through cold applying, the other 3 through networking).

reach out to former coworkers or friends and ask for referrals. YMMV, but I do not think it is at all that bleak.

prisenco 22 hours ago [-]
| A lot of this was through networking to be fair

On that note, being in a larger city and doing in-person networking is a much different game than trying to apply online from afar. Plus, I've heard a lot about how useless online applications have become due to AI, ghost jobs, bad HR practices, etc. It makes me wonder if returning to the "come in to the office and drop off an application" days would be better for everyone.

trinix912 22 hours ago [-]
Online applications make it easier for people to apply to jobs in a different city without having to drive across the country just to hand the HR a PDF hardcopy. Mail (physical mail, not e-mail) and fax (yeah, I know, who still uses fax) applications wouldn't suffer from this though.
bobnamob 20 hours ago [-]
Echoing this experience.

I moved AUS->UK for family reasons, didn’t start applying till we landed and settled. Had a remote contract signed within two months at “big tech” for 97th percentile income locally.

20ish apps total, only 5ish got past resume screening, bombed one, turned down two, one couldn’t afford me, one accepted, no referrals, only applying for Sr IC roles, ~30yo, ~10yoe, no dei, admittedly have a degree unlike op

All up I was left doubting the jobs downturn, anecdote ofc :shrug:

sabareesh 18 hours ago [-]
This is the key, cold applying for jobs no longer work
w4ffl35 22 hours ago [-]
How old are you? I'm curious about demographics
Insanity 22 hours ago [-]
32 - interviewed only for senior IC positions in hybrid and remote roles. Also do want to nuance, I applied to many more positions than I ended up getting interviews for.

The only guaranteed way for the interview stage was through referrals.

einsteinx2 18 hours ago [-]
I found this was the same for me in the middle of the pandemic hiring boom too. I sent off a dozen resumes and didn’t hear back from any of them, one post for me on the YC alumni forum and I had a whole week of interviews lined up immediately and one referral to another company which landed me an interview as well and ultimately an offer I ended up accepting.

I never found cold applying to be particularly useful, even during the best hiring times, so I always read these accounts of how bad the market is because someone sent their resume to X number of companies to be a bit useless in judging the market as in my experience that never really worked.

betaby 20 hours ago [-]
Low pay offers.

In Montreal there are plenty of offers paying ~90k CAD/year ( 62k USD/year ) for 15+ years of experience.

There are lot of job listings in Montreal, and those positions are real. Problem is that the pay makes those positions undesirable.

The second problem is that no one hires junior developers. My friend's kid finishing CS studies in May 2025 and prospect for jobs are not good.

danieldk 20 hours ago [-]
I think this is an important factor. Developer salaries have been bimodal or trimodal [1]. I have really good former colleagues who have difficulty finding jobs, but they are looking for 120k+ USD/Euro jobs (remote, outside SV). I also have friends owning companies, having difficulty filling positions, but they are in the 50k-70k USD/Euro range.

It seems like the difficulty of finding a job is in the second mode. But the people who had jobs in that mode are hesitant to apply in jobs corresponding to the first mode, not only because the pay gap is substantial, but it can also be bad for one's resume and perhaps less satisfying intellectually.

[1] https://blog.pragmaticengineer.com/software-engineering-sala...

betaby 19 hours ago [-]
That kind of makes sense, but doesn't. I'm aware of the fact of the bi-modal / tri-modal distribution of the software dev. salaries. However, in the case of my friend, software is not the only option for him. My friend refuses to get lower paying software eng. position ... because he can make the same lower money by doing the thing he likes, in his case - working as a luthier. Another friend also were refusing to get lower paying software jobs and instead were working 1+ year as secretary for a wealthy person. My point is that some lower paying jobs won't be filed ever, even if there are plenty software developers without jobs. It's more wise for some people to leave field temporarily or permanently.
nickff 20 hours ago [-]
One problem with hiring juniors (from an employer perspective) is that they take a while to get trained up, then leave after 1-3 years, meaning that they require investment which never gets paid back. You can argue that the company should give them raises to keep them, but it goes against the zeitgeist (so it’s tough), and also means that there’s no advantage to hiring juniors.

This seems like a stable (though undesirable) equilibrium, and I do not have a solution.

throwaway48476 18 hours ago [-]
It's short sighted. Eventually the seniors will retire and die off. It very much feels like 'we've tried nothing and we're all out of ideas'.
bdangubic 17 hours ago [-]
seniors will retire or die off is what is short-sighted. I have been a senior for the past 10 years and am planning on hacking another 10-15, don’t need money any longer, just love what I do. 60% of just my team is the same (give or take few years)
nickff 18 hours ago [-]
Most companies are trying to hire people with more than 2-4 years of experience, but not 0-2 years of experience. They are far from losing all candidates to death or retirement.
throwaway48476 18 hours ago [-]
If no one hires 0-2 how many 2-4 will there be?
nickff 17 hours ago [-]
That’s definitely a problem right now, but it’s still not worth hiring people just to train them and have them leave.

I think this one of the reasons for the popularity of H1B, as this new normal isn’t worldwide yet.

throwaway48476 15 hours ago [-]
That's why I said they tried nothing and are out of ideas.
nickff 12 hours ago [-]
The problem is that labor laws and practical considerations make it so that most other options are infeasible and/or illegal. Business model innovation in employment is basically illegal.

Professional sports take interesting and varied approaches to the subject, but even they are facing challenges (see ‘free transfers’ in the European football market).

throwaway48476 8 hours ago [-]
This is just excusing a complete lack of creativity. If they won't adapt they deserve to fail.
layer8 18 hours ago [-]
It’s not just the zeitgeist. It’s problematic when relatively junior employees start to overtake more senior employees on salary (because word will go around). And raising everyone’s salaries often isn’t an option either, obviously.
quaffapint 20 hours ago [-]
In the last couple of weeks we posted a job for a junior .NET dev and got over 800 resumes within days. The automation is killing both the employer having to sift through it all and the employee possibly getting lost in the mix.
mmmmmbop 17 hours ago [-]
To answer your question: No, I did not struggle to find employment. I'm at a FAANG right now, but was shopping around last year for offers, and got decent offers from the likes of Snowflake and Uber. Ended up not taking them because I'm happy where I'm at.

I took a look at your LinkedIn. If I were a hiring manager, I'd be concerned that in the last 8 years you mostly stayed at each company for a year or less and that your longest tenure was 2 years. That would most likely make me pass on your resume.

cloverich 14 hours ago [-]
What would good tenure ranges look like to you? I feel 3 is the magic number, and 7 is too long (dep. on many factors of course) but feel this is under discussed.

Personally id have questions about anything sub 2, but seeing 2 or more 3s would be enough for me to ignore a short stint or two.

xenity7 13 hours ago [-]
Why would a long tenure be a problem?
janstice 4 hours ago [-]
It’s harder to demonstrate growth & development in the same job for 7 years - if you have a couple of job changes it makes a more natural narrative of how you are professionally developing - not impossible at a single org, but needs a bit more of a story of projects you delivered and how you are not the same person as 7 years ago.
huuhee3 22 hours ago [-]
The market definitely sucks in EU too. A couple of years ago I could choose where to work as a junior dev. These days as a senior I'm happy to cling into my current job, and probably couldn't find anything if I got laid off.

Fresh grads in most other fields aren't doing either, but at least they aren't oversaturated as badly as CS is. Only ones doing fine are medical and social work professionals.

quanto 17 hours ago [-]
Please allow me to offer some color from the other side of the table. My colleagues and I are/were/have been hiring managers for the past decade or so. Our recent observations regarding the job market:

1. Incumbent programmers became more productive thanks to GPTs. A shop stopped hiring for junior, mid-career positions.

2. Other shops (small and medium) take it further and layoff 10% of the labor, mostly junior guys, to be replaced with GPTs.

3. Another shop (recognizable name in HN) made some offers to strong candidates, and they took the offers without negotiation. Quite unusual in the light of the past decade.

4. The ones that I wanted to hire or got hired at other shops: the going total comp was 500k - 1.5m USD/annum at senior or staff level. And this range applied to outside the bay area as well.

Talking to some headhunters -- we do see a strong hiring market at the senior level or niche markets (e.g. low latency numerical systems), but the junior levels are definitely seeing a transition. My (very obvious now) running hypothesis is that GPT is influencing the market.

I personally haven't observed any systematic or overt racism implied by OP; I do not recall race explicitly coming up in any of the discussions, but yes there is a large pool of foreign-born engineers who are willing to take a lower pay (who are just as productive, especially with GPT), so perhaps this is what the OP's circle is observing.

On a related note, I read an early research showing the impact of GPT on customer service staff productivity. GPT greatly improved the new/bottom performers but did not impact senior/top performers; a result that fits my intuition of how GPT works. I believe that a similar thing is happening at an industrial scale in tech.

I make no moral judgement here. At least on my end, the market is simply acting in line with supply and demand. Nevertheless, my sympathies for those in an unsuccessful quest.

geor9e 16 hours ago [-]
I remember in the early 2000s, computer science was not a very attractive field. The headlines were saying the jobs would go to India. People weren't predicting that in the 2010s, demand would get so high that people would switch careers to do a 3 month boot camp (or equivalent self-study) and then making six figures remotely. To the people who got non-software stem degrees, and went into a stem career, the world of software looked like an alternative reality. Imagine a 3 month bootcamp to become a structural engineer or chemical engineer. To stem folks outside of the software world, the bar being raised feels like a return to normalcy. A lot of the mundane work you used to need an army of coders for is now doable with an LLM in cursor/vs code. Most stem majors take at least one coding class in college, but didn't have the patience to really get into it, but AI has opened that door. I don't want to sound callous or unempathetic, but a chunk of software workers no longer being unemployable makes total sense to those outside the software world. But, give it a few years, surprises often occur, and I wouldn't be surprised if there's another massive software hiring wave.
RGamma 23 hours ago [-]
And if you look at e.g. Bachelor's enrollment in CS it's somehow still rising in Fall of 2024: https://nscresearchcenter.org/stay-informed/

That's gonna be one rude awakening.

SoftTalker 20 hours ago [-]
Classic "buying on the high" behavior, we saw this in 1998/99 also.
warner25 19 hours ago [-]
I've been fascinated by the boom in university CS departments since I was a CS major myself during the low point between 1999-2001 and the start of the current boom. At my alma mater with a total undergrad enrollment between 10-20k, my graduating class of CS majors had just 23 people. The department didn't even have its own building. For a number of years now, CS has been the most popular major there (graduating hundreds per year) and the CS department's newly constructed building is perhaps the most iconic building in the whole city (it's an urban campus). I keep asking myself how long this can really go on.

I have little doubt, by the way, that the booming compensation for software folks in recent years is partially a function of how few people in their mid-30s to early-40s today did CS degrees during undergrad.

For undergrads today, though, I suppose the good question is "what else is there?" (i.e. providing a path to an upper-middle class American lifestyle). Pre-med programs have long been over-enrolled with med school admissions being super competitive. Business and law degrees only matter if they come from the top schools where admissions have long been super competitive. My own kids will start having to figure this out soon, and I don't know what I'll suggest.

SoftTalker 19 hours ago [-]
Business, law, and medicine are still pretty "high touch" and I think will be for a long time. Nobody is really going to trust an AI for legal or medical advice -- even if the use of AI becomes more common in those professions (which I expect) people want a human connection or a human handshake (or a human to blame).

AI for software though? It will decimate employment in that field as soon as it's good enough. Nobody cares who or what wrote their software. It's been amusing to me to watch the software profession build the tools of its own destruction.

As far as the future, I would advise looking at professions where a high degree of human-to-human interaction is important. But certainly I have no crystal ball, maybe people of the future will be fine with getting care from a Star Trek "Medical Hologram" doctor.

rossdavidh 20 hours ago [-]
So, I must ask for definitions. I found late 2023 and early 2024 very difficult for finding employment (I work as a freelance/consultant/temp programmer), whereas both early 2023 and late 2024 I did get some significant amount.

I know others who are white males like me, and they also found late 2023 and early 2024 to be more challenging than lately.

I should also mention that as a young man I would apply for any job in my chosen field, whereas now I look for jobs that are not just programming, but the kind of programming I wish to do (for example, in my particular case I don't like front-end and I like machine learning but am turned off by what looks like AI-hype in company descriptions). So, am I finding it harder because I am pickier? Or is it actually harder because my standards are higher, because I am fortunate enough that I can (for now, anyway) afford to be picky?

In any case, I found late 2024 to be better than the 12 months before that.

arendtio 20 hours ago [-]
I think your categories ('white male', 'Indian', ...) are a form of racism already. I mean, there are other categories you can use. Outsourcing, offshoring, and nearshoring all describe something similar (cutting costs by replacing the workforce) but do not categorize humans based on racial factors.

I understand this is not the core of your question, but I did not want to leave it uncommented because I think it is inappropriate.

__turbobrew__ 19 hours ago [-]
I can tell you anecdotally that I was treated differently for being a white male when interviewing with at a large tech company. I passed the interviews but had to wait two weeks as they interviewed “diverse candidates” to see if they could take the job instead of me.

They ended up offering me the job but I took a position elsewhere where the company didn’t treat me like a second class citizen.

Im pretty sure what they did was illegal according to the laws in this country, but Im not going to waste my time fighting it.

nickpsecurity 20 hours ago [-]
Many companies officially endorse systematic racism under the banner of Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI). They isn’t just trying to exclude white males to hire more of the opposite traits. Many will have support groups for non-whites and non-males for their specific issues, special training that can lead to promotions which whites can’t have, and put out posters or videos displaying non-whites to show how much they care [if you’re not white].

I ran into this quite a few times when looking for AI companies. They often put it prominently in the About Us pages or their annual report. Some organizations were also giving grants or mentoring only to minority members.

That DEI makes hiring decisions partly based on race, gender, sexual orientation, etc. means it shouldn’t surprise you at all that someone mentions it as a hiring factor. If they hired X non-whites, then up to X whites may have been rejected depending on the makeup of the candidate pool. That’s just how systematic racism works. It should be abolished.

nosefurhairdo 19 hours ago [-]
I'm close with a principal engineering manager at a large tech company. At his level, bonuses are in part determined by hiring minorities (discriminating against whites, East Asians, men), and resumés are sorted by the same category to ensure some minimum of minorities are given an opportunity before a less racially desirable candidate even has a chance of being looked at.

IBM Red Hat is being sued for this, having stated workforce diversity goals of 30% female and 30% people of color. Executives have openly stated that bonuses are on the line if you hire too many white men.

For the last decade or so we haven't been able to state these things without being accused of racism or sexism. Ironically, my primary concern is that these sorts of policies make the problems of racism and sexism worse. Equality requires that we judge people on their merits.

AgentOrange1234 17 hours ago [-]
At my FAANG company, our leadership is super unbalanced in favor of white/asian men.

We have some empty words about diversity but no goals or metrics, so nothing effective will actually change.

As a (white, male) manager, I have huge power over who gets to interview. My network is, sadly, largely white/asian and male. So if I don’t even think about it, I will perpetuate the imbalance.

I haven’t seen bonuses tied to diversity. I have seen a promo doc where a manager was praised for increasing diversity, with a greater percentage of women now in his department. I then discovered he had hired 1 woman and 26 men, raising his percentage of women from 0. I’m not kidding.

throwawaybc 8 hours ago [-]
Sometimes the companies can't help it either. When you try to get business from government contracts or even large enterprises, they ask you your diversity in hiring in your org. You're excluded from applying if you're not diverse enough. So it's a chain.
scottiescottie 16 hours ago [-]
I have seen this as well. We have "DEI" officers, whatever that means, whose job seems to be solely to email us about things like whatever native land our company's buildings exists on.
Arch485 18 hours ago [-]
It's also very important to realize that the majority of currently employed and potential candidates are "white males" in North America and Europe, for better or for worse. So when you say, "the people who are struggling are coincidentally mostly white men", with the implication that white men are somehow being discriminated against, you're being disingenuous at best and outright malicious at worst.
ashconnor 19 hours ago [-]
[flagged]
BadCookie 22 hours ago [-]
There is plenty of discussion about how hard it is to get or change jobs in tech (even with several years of experience) in the r/womenintech subreddit, along with some discussion about what other industries to potentially pursue instead.
LouisSayers 19 hours ago [-]
I live in New Zealand, applied for 5 jobs in March 2024, got 2 offers (Atlassian, small startup - both Aus based remote jobs), the other 3 companies didn't move me past resume.

I have a CS degree and over a decade of experience as a full stack dev.

Maybe I just got lucky, but there have always been people out there that seem to apply for hundreds of companies and land nothing. I've also helped some of those people land a job.

IMO it mostly comes down to understanding and preparing for the interview process, and tailoring yourself for the position you're applying for. Sometimes people also need help with blind spots - little things like correctly referring to technologies in their CV, small talk and being personable etc.

nsfmc 16 hours ago [-]
i suspect that a lot of people applying to a lot of jobs and not hearing back are applying via an inbound webform or even, unknowingly, through an agency or intermediary like Indeed. my experience (on both sides of the hiring process) is that inbound applications are generally considered fairly low-signal unless they are paired with a highly-specific job req or come with a referral attached. i'd be curious to know how you applied to those companies to get such good response rates.

as an anecdote, for some jobs i've applied to, i received an internal referral to a specific recruiter and it just never went anywhere (although i could often observe the recruiter looking at my linkedin profile from linkedin's own upgrade promo emails). in many cases, i would have preferred a 5 minute call to see if i was even a good fit so as to cross a job off a list.

i'm not anybody special, also degree and over a decade in, but it seems like a market where i could be connected 1-1 to an internal recruiter that is actively filling a role but where on several occasions i was ghosted is just a different sort of environment than what you're describing.

LouisSayers 9 hours ago [-]
All were web forms except for the startup job which was inbound off of a hackernews "looking for work" post I commented in.

To be fair though the only online application that went through was Atlassian.

xandrius 17 hours ago [-]
I do think it heavily depends on what kind of salary you are looking for. Not sure how it is jn NZ but perhaps they pay less than in the US, and hence it's less competitive to remote outsiders?
LouisSayers 9 hours ago [-]
Quiet possibly, I'm on the equivalent of $90k USD which would be considered as the bottom of the higher (or top mid) salary over here if that makes sense!
hereonout2 22 hours ago [-]
I've recruited for many roles in the UK for a very large tech employer (1000s of developers but not a FAANG).

With 20 years experience you'd get through our semi-automated processes and get an interview if the skill sets and employment history matched - regardless of a university level experience.

Are you sure it's the degree that's holding you back?

I'm not advising you lie, as it's fraud, but just adding that over here it would be incredibly rare to ask for proof of academic qualifications from 20 years ago when recruiting such an experienced hire.

I myself have around 20 years experience, I have a degree but god knows where the certificate is and additionally the university who issued it no longer exists.

Although my degree is adjacent somewhat it is not in CS. I've never been asked to show it to anyone, never asked a hire for theirs either.

Apreche 22 hours ago [-]
You have to apply to jobs at places that are smaller, growing, and aren’t using an automated resume filter.
hooo 22 hours ago [-]
Do you know what automated filters they use? Like what companies product does it? I’m curious to take a look at how they work
w4ffl35 22 hours ago [-]
I primarily apply to startups - I've had next to no luck anywhere.
thrwythrwythrwy 17 hours ago [-]
Another piece of anecdata: a major bank and credit card issuer on the East Coast has started staffing in Mexico. You’ve definitely heard of them or even actually use their services if you’re American. They led a multi-year long tech “transformation” for which they hired heavily, especially new CS graduates. That’s now been scaled back considerably, and it’s H1B contractors as far as the eye can see. The irony is that the Indian H1Bs that undercut the local workforce are now being undercut themselves by Mexican contractors.
blased 13 hours ago [-]
Yup at the epicenter of this one, it’s a shitshow honestly.
TypingOutBugs 4 hours ago [-]
I haven’t found it harder than any other time since 2014 to be honest. In Sweden now, previously Palo Alto, previously Oxford/London, but remote since 2018.

The only thing that might be niche in my position is I focus on SDET contract roles while having a general dev background? I moved into SDET work originally to join a company that used Haskell because I couldn’t get a dev role there, and enjoyed it so stayed in the domain.

Ends up it’s been fairly easy to find work ever since!

ironman1478 19 hours ago [-]
I haven't had a hard time finding employment. I am going to start at a FAANG next week, coming from another FAANG. I work in embedded / hardware. I think what is being asked for is changing and people are being caught flat footed. We don't need more web or backend devs, we have so many of those. The world of embedded can't hire enough because the scope of embedded has increased. It's no longer just writing bare metal C on a tiny microcontroller, it has expanded to writing applications for embedded Linux for custom devices that are more tricked out than desktops 20 years ago. It's easier than ever to build an SoC and a device and so many companies need people to write software for them. I think it's hard to outsource because frequently it requires lab space (unless you're working on pure compute devices) and companies don't want to ship prototypes and devkits overseas. So there are industries that are hiring lots of Americans.

Also this might be a hot take, I don't agree with Elon or Vivek's plan to outsource, but I do think tech has done this to itself. Why are so many startups and tech companies so bloated with engineers? I worked at a company that sold VERY complex factory and plant monitoring software to companies around the world. It's engineering team was about 500 people supporting a wide range of products and different levels of the stack. Companies with way less complex software and less software volume have way more bloated engineering orgs and are way less efficient. Because, fundamentally most people are bad at software engineering (which is different from just programming and pure CS), including grads from MIT. A lot of companies are outsourcing because if everybody isn't that great, they might as well pay less for something that isn't good. The companies that have simple products and have crap engineers are the ones outsourcing.

feznyng 17 hours ago [-]
How would a junior engineer get into embedded software? Personal hardware projects with esp32s, etc?

Seems far more interesting than cobbling together CRUD apps but it seems tough to get into given the experience roles require.

ironman1478 12 hours ago [-]
Having a computer engineering degree helps. Outside of the embedded equivalent of CRUD, you'll have to know the details of how a computer works. How memory visibility and synchronization works, what mmio is, basic assembly, interrupt concepts, etc. I'd actually recommend reading a book on operating systems. A lot of embedded devices that are pure compute require knowledge of operating systems because you're basically building software to enable a user to interact with the accelerator or sensor on the device.

I'd also learn a tool like yocto or buildroot, both tools for creating Linux images. They're not great tools, but they are widely used in creating embedded Linux images.

If you want to solve domain specific issues (like getting into DSP) or doing high speed networking, you have to find an entry level job in that field and have the requisite background. It's hard to do DSP without an EE background for example.

finding_nemo55 8 hours ago [-]
Agree the rate of top US companies hiring foreign tech workers has massively increased in the past decade. But no, its not at the expense of US citizen employees. I work at a FAANG (5+ years at one, 10_+ years in other big companies). We are actively hiring great talent. The majority is white males, because...statistics. HR recruiters try to serve us a diverse pool of resumes/candidates to screen but its actually hard to find enough to fill all the roles we're hiring for (in cloud computing). Results in teams of mainly white males. Hopefully your 'anecdotal experiences shared online' are just a subset of the few that don't make it past an initial screen vs. the majority that do.
ckirch 20 hours ago [-]
35, male, American citizen. applied to 800 jobs, few technical interviews, no offers. i believe with the advent of AI, the landscape has changed faster than the job market has corrected for it. It will never go back to the glory days of tech people getting hired, its over.
e40 19 hours ago [-]
I don't believe for a second that AI is the reason. In anything, AI has contributed to added jobs, or at the minimum a shift in resources toward AI.
atrettel 17 hours ago [-]
I do know that ML and AI are at least changing hiring in my own field (scientific research). Where I work, there is little hiring of subject-matter experts and a lot of hiring of data scientists and ML experts. I have talked to many managers over the last few years, and in many of these conversations, the managers imply that there is a lot less of a need for subject-matter expertise because the AI can fill in the blanks for us --- no need to hire expensive subject-matter experts anymore. In their minds, AI can do it cheaper and better. That's my own summary of these conversations, but it does show a shift in hiring patterns in scientific research at least.
md_ayaz 12 hours ago [-]
I got laid in June and was unemployed for 2 months. I'm from Bengaluru, India.

Job market here is really bad. There are companies from USA that are opening offices India but the no openings are less than the job seekers.

I have friends who are unemployed for 6 months or more. Companies don't want to match previous compensation. They want candidates at the lowest price and best skills.

There is a leetcode inflation and getting interviews is the most challenging part.

Glyptodon 22 hours ago [-]
The "white males" bit is not useful/helpful. But US resident vs non is probably a bit.

There are several layers to this.

Layer one is that SW Eng work has always been both multi modal and that it's never been easy to get out of the trash distributions (e.g. $40-$60k "analyst" or "programmer" gigs, etc.) if you end up there. And it's also never been easy for someone to get a degree and find a job w/o having internships, years of part time work or other experience, or connections.

Anecdata, but a solid number of my CS graduating class more than a decade ago who were more than good enough to work in CS struggled to figure out how to find a first position if they didn't happen to have gotten internships, worked in the field before graduation, etc. While the best off got Google or MS internships that the majority of my class didn't even apply for. And even then, the majority of the jobs were for 4+ years of experience.

Add to this over the past decade many outfits have started to hire substantial numbers of overseas remote workers. For the most part, I think many companies fill their junior and slightly up roles with outside of the US remote workers. This has mixed results, but it's usually cheaper to hire several foreign remote workers over one domestic worker, and particularly in cases where time consuming grunt work is needed it can work reasonably. In some ways the H1-B doesn't matter because you can always hire remote foreign workers. The main issues I've seen relate to there being a substantial management load to deal with the amount of stuff lost in translation. I've personally had a better experience w/ South American contractors than Russian/Ukrainian/Slavic or Indian, I think because the timezones match better, English/Spanish/Portuguese seems to be easier to navigate linguistically, and the workers have seemed to better understand what we've needed and been better at showing initiative for some reason.

Then layer AI on top of this and relatively reduced hiring.

I do not think it's a good time to be looking for work, and with every year that's gone by over the least decade it's been worse for junior/early career roles especially.

I haven't seen white males being let go in favor of foreigners, but I have seen a lot of limiting hiring to a few seniors and filling the rest with overseas to save money. AI is only exacerbating. As is the fact that nobody really seems to have money for hiring. So is the desire to hire people who are magically already perfect and spun up for a role, no matter how niche.

In general, I think "white male" is a red herring.

speakfreely 20 hours ago [-]
Agree with everything you wrote, with one small caveat: the "white male" thing is really only a notable disadvantage with large companies. Every startup I've interacted with has always prioritized hiring the person who is most capable of doing the job... the extra race/gender variable really only comes into play when there's a substantial HR layer involved.

But to your other point, I think any perceived layoffs of white males at tech companies is just correlation with their overrepresentation in the software engineer population.

like_any_other 20 hours ago [-]
> any perceived layoffs of white males at tech companies is just correlation with their overrepresentation in the software engineer population

Whites are 41% of software engineers [1], but 57% of the US population [2], so they are under-, not over-, represented.

[1] https://www.careerexplorer.com/careers/software-engineer/dem...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_the_United_Sta...

e40 19 hours ago [-]
> But to your other point, I think any perceived layoffs of white males at tech companies is just correlation with their overrepresentation in the software engineer population.

Agreed. A friend interviewed at Stripe in 2019 (ish, but before the pandemic) and he said every single person he saw at their SF office was 25-30 and white male. And it wasn't a small building and he was given a tour of a good bit of it.

returnInfinity 20 hours ago [-]
All the CEOs are investing money in AI and that budget has to come from somewhere. So we have reduced hiring.

The CEOs are scared that if AI ends up working, then they will be left behind by competitors who invested in AI. So every CEO must invest in AI according to game theory.

Yoric 19 hours ago [-]
> All the CEOs are investing money in AI and that budget has to come from somewhere. So we have reduced hiring.

Indeed. That was even communicated officially by several companies during their layoffs (including Google, iirc).

bobosha 19 hours ago [-]
tyvm for your thoughtful answer without some of the usual histrionics on this topic.
shepherdjerred 19 hours ago [-]
As a white male (I only mention this since you did), I didn't have any trouble finding employment this year. I wrote about my experience here: https://sjer.red/blog/2024/job-hunt/

I do believe the market is pretty bad though, especially for new grads. I don't think it'll ever recover because of AI, and that realistically you'll have to be talented, passionate, or hard-working to work as a software engineer.

21 hours ago [-]
namaria 5 hours ago [-]
Employment is over. It will only erode further from this point on. It will become a club for well connected people and prime corporate candidates.

We need to take employment back on our hands and build small community business.

sotix 17 hours ago [-]
I’m approaching a year of unemployment, although I took a deliberate four month break. Don’t have a CS degree but am a CPA. Have been primarily targeting accounting and fintech companies, but I’m getting passed up for software engineers with zero accounting knowledge but much more dev experience. It’s been tough, but I’m hoping it will get better in January. I have to at least hope because I really need to get a job ASAP.
throwaway-100 19 hours ago [-]
Small startup tech-cofounder here so definitely won’t apply to large companies. Only interviewed candidates sourced through referrals because the risk of a wrong hire is way too high for us. I also noticed a pattern where more senior devs tend to not be as hungry as a a younger dev, and I don’t mean accepting a lower pay, in fact we pay higher salaries for a mid level position. We require (relatively) a lot of customer facing time and product management/discovery activities and may not be everyone cup of tea.
Cypher 20 hours ago [-]
2 years been looking, didn't help that I only found out I have ASD which was probably costing me many jobs without realization. But yea, market sucks and we hired someone to come in and cut costs.
niyyou 18 hours ago [-]
Great comments and insights. Thanks to everybody for being constructive. I am also going through the same situation, but in Europe. Despite having a PhD in Machine Learning, somehow I cannot even get to the interviews. I am suspecting it might stupidly have to do with my LaTeX-generated CV which gets desk-rejected by badly design CV screening systems… anyone else sharing my suspicion?
jamal-kumar 20 hours ago [-]
Not really a problem for me but that's because I had the foresight to realize this is the way things are going and that it's time to get into my own thing and start my own companies if I am going to survive. The thing that was the writing on the wall for me ages ago was seeing older programmers with plenty of talent finding it hard to get work in their field, like the ageism thing, if you're past 35 or so and still just doing the labour thing and not in a management position people tend to give you the side eye in this industry...

So yeah if nobody is going to promote you to that you gotta promote yourself and start a company, that has been clear to me for at least 5 years since I did that. It's kind of weird seeing people complain as if this is a race subject though. I think the discrimination may be there for that but it's beyond it too and has been for a LONG time now.

motohagiography 20 hours ago [-]
when you look at who is absent at the professional level there's a theme. where are all the high agency operators?

I've spent most of my career contracting and consulting for institutions and the reason I was able to do it was because those institutions had social/diversity hiring mandates that created a huge market for people like me to actually deliver the work while not being a part of the permanent organization. they could all sit in meetings being weird and passive aggressive with each other while I just solved and built stuff. it's been a good run, but the broader economic effects of that trend are becoming unavoidable.

What's changed since the 90's is there is no longer a path from tech practitioner to executive class in any org larger than a startup. the real value of H1-B's is they make up for the conflict-avoidant agreeableness of managers as companies grow larger and become more like institutions, where the effective indenture arrangement means H-1B's have to be supple enough for uncharismatic people to manage them. it's abuse, but it's an ancient dynamic. it would be great if markets de-globalized to where my cultural capital was currency again, but what to hope for and what to do are different things.

Don't look for employment, look for work. the culture and economy don't confer meaningful status from jobs anymore. it's gone, just get work for its own sake. Getting hung up on the racial issue or anything that makes you think in an inferior way or excuses a lack of agency is going to guarantee failure. Who cares what may be true, the only thing that matters is what you can effect.

zusammen 22 hours ago [-]
I’m 65 and I have tenure. If I didn’t, I would leave the country. If I couldn’t, I don’t know what I would do. You do not want to be on the open market in the 2020s, that’s for sure.

it is nearly impossible for people with CS degrees (especially white males) to get an interview let alone a job.

My friend, if you think it’s bad for white men, just wait till you hear what it’s like for black women. 2+ year job searches, for black tech workers, were the norm even in the pre-COVID economy.

It’s terrible for everyone who isn’t in a position to take advantage of geographic arbitrage. And even that, for a worker, is unstable… look at how fast the bastards RTO’d people as soon as their real estate holdings took a hit.

scottiescottie 21 hours ago [-]
This hasn't been my experience for black tech workers. HR bent over backward to keep them when they found a higher paying job elsewhere.
w4ffl35 22 hours ago [-]
Thanks -

I agree that I think the "white male" thing might primarily be getting pushed by white nationals on X (and since I'm a white male, my experiences will of course relate to white males). That's why I'm curious about demographics.

Vivek didn't call out white males either, he called out Americans and bashed our culture while stating we need more foreign workers. I understand the point he and Elon are attempting to make, but I believe they simply want cheap labor. If the market is so bad for Americans, why do we need more immigrants in tech?

like_any_other 22 hours ago [-]
> if you think it’s bad for white men, just wait till you hear what it’s like for black women

"Corporate America Promised to Hire a Lot More People of Color. It Actually Did. The year after Black Lives Matter protests, the S&P 100 added more than 300,000 jobs — 94% went to people of color." - https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2023-black-lives-matter-e...

A BestBuy & McKinsey leadership program open only to non-whites - https://web.archive.org/web/20220927170605/https://corporate...

London Mayor’s Transport Team Bans Whites from Internships - https://thenationalpulse.com/2023/05/21/london-mayors-transp...

Mind you these are official, openly stated policies. If this is what they admit to, imagine what they do more discreetly. And it's not just hiring - it's a "pipeline problem" - whites, especially non-Jewish whites, are the most underrepresented group in the Ivy League, by a significant margin - https://archive.org/download/ivy_league/ivy_league.png (2023 data)

Glyptodon 20 hours ago [-]
One thing I've seen is the company would prefer to hire women/non-white, but doesn't get many qualified/competitive non-white applicants. Because an unfortunate number of seem to be trying to hustle into CS from outside the field, come from boot camps, etc., and are applying to senior roles with junior skills.
spondylosaurus 21 hours ago [-]
Yes, companies went out of their way to hire people of color... to rectify historical discrepancies.

Also worth noting the original headline for your linked piece about Best Buy is "Best Buy, McKinsey partner to develop diverse leaders" (ah, the progressive radicals bringing down our country... McKinsey!) and your linked piece about the London transport team comes from some sensationalist outlet I've never heard of, whose founder appears to be writing articles about how "Jill Biden's White House Christmas decorations are predictably ghastly." Not sure I trust that as an unbiased source.

like_any_other 20 hours ago [-]
> Yes, companies went out of their way to hire people of color... to rectify historical discrepancies.

Glad we could move on from "it's not happening" to "it's happening and it's a good thing" expediently.

> Not sure I trust that as an unbiased source.

The article you distrust links (at the start of the 2nd paragraph) to the official government website advertising that internship, which states, verbatim: "You must be of Black, Asian and minority ethnic background, defined as having some African, Afro-Caribbean, Asian or other non-white heritage"

https://web.archive.org/web/20231002080147/https://tfl.gov.u...

22 hours ago [-]
gosub100 22 hours ago [-]
> Have you been fired in favor of foreign workers?

1) I work at a large company everyone in the US has heard of. When I walk in the public areas of the company or at lunch, it looks like we are based in Mumbai. There is no "diversity", it's one country in particular, which is India. (Funnily enough, this demographic isn't reflected in management)

2) I overheard the 4th level (above me) manager complaining to another manager that his department (he oversees the whole floor, let's say a bit under 100 employees) has 30+ open reqs, and HR has only given him a few resumes (unknown what time period this refers to). The last interview I gave was to an H1B who had an audio link in his earbuds to someone who feed him answers to my technical questions.

3) I have 20 years experience, yet this job pays the same amount I was making 10 years ago. There is effectively zero negotiation for salaries. They will happily let you go vs bargain.

4) A previous mega-corp I worked for, GE Healthcare in Wisconsin, looked like India on campus. Utter lack of diversity. I recently got a job solicitation from an Indian recruiter for $40/hr for C++ development at this location.

I think it's very clear that the cat's out of the bag about how to evade high-paying tech salaries. Set the parameters to discourage Americans from hiring, create a bottleneck so that your open reqs last longer, then use their extra-legal powers (unfettered access to congresspeople) to claim they are falling behind profitability, but if they just had those wonderful H1Bs everything will be ok.

scottiescottie 21 hours ago [-]
Do any of your real life friends accuse you of racism?

Do you find that Indian managers hire their own?

I'm assuming you're not Indian.

I applied to FedEx affiliated company for SWE, and everyone except upper management was Indian. I was shocked.

gosub100 19 hours ago [-]
I haven't been accused of being racist by anyone I know (especially not for pointing out a lack of diversity). I haven't experienced any Indian managers hiring their own, but I've only had one Indian manager. That isn't really a concern for me; small amounts of prejudice are to be expected, and if they grow to large-enough proportions they can be proven in court and adjudicated. What concerns me is a systemic trend to cut off US citizens' ability to move up economically.

Incidentally, there is a completely orthogonal concern that almost nobody is aware of: that Indian children are essentially being forced to study tech or medicine in order to get high-paying jobs in the west. This essentially erases their culture and robs the children of any freedom of identity. From single-digit ages they are being forced (under threat of discipline) to provide economic security for their parents. That is sickening.

jelly-filled 12 hours ago [-]
I got laid off from Amazon and it took me around 4 months to finally land a job last summer. I did a shotgun approach to applications and make track. I completed 400 applications but only interviewed for 12 companies before getting an offer.

I'm in a similar situation, I do not have a degree but have around a decade of professional experience.

I did recently talk to our tech recruiter and he said we average about 1k applicants a day in each job post and about 95% of them are AI generated slop resumes and his leadership wants him to review every application.

variadix 19 hours ago [-]
I can’t comment on the current job market, but I was looking for work as a fresh grad in 2021. After applying to 200+ positions I received 5 callbacks, 3 of which were defense contractors. 3.9 GPA in EE at a top 10 state school, 2 internships, several big projects in and outside of school. Mostly applied to RTL and embedded positions, ended up in infosec for various reasons.
kragen 4 hours ago [-]
RTL: register-transfer level? I didn't realize that was itself a job category!
0xbadcafebee 20 hours ago [-]
Yes, we reached peak tech employment. The market was flooded with job openings from a decade-plus of endlessly increasing VC funding. So a lot of not-technically-inclined people took bootcamps and entered the job market, and for a while there was enough jobs. But with VC funding slowly drying up, and a shaky economy, all those excess jobs are gone. But there's still a ton of people trying to get the jobs.

I have two decades of experience and even I have a really hard time getting an interview. I feel like there's just too many people with my skillset and not that much demand for it [anymore]. Salaries for new jobs have gone down and there's fewer remote positions [thanks, braindead CEOs].

ethanwillis 19 hours ago [-]
Well the CEOs are telling us there are more jobs than ever and they need the ability to hire more people from abroad to even have a chance at filling them.

So are there jobs or not?

0xbadcafebee 16 hours ago [-]
No, there are not that many jobs. There is a normal amount of jobs, and there are lot of unskilled workers trying to get those jobs. A large amount of the jobs are being listed for senior level skillset and experience, and there's just not that many of those candidates. It's even harder to find them when hiring managers are awash in unskilled candidates who look similar, with no discernible way to sort them out.

So the CEOs are claiming there aren't enough skilled workers, because it's technically true. The main problem is they've raised their standards [for the same wages], there was never that many experts just hanging around looking for jobs, and they shoot themselves in the foot.

They could fill positions pretty quickly. But our whole industry is a bad joke. "Highly Skilled" positions, where we don't have any quantifiable standards or qualifications, and we divine candidates from a stack of hundreds of applicants by software scanning pieces of paper for buzzwords. The final irony being these jobs can all be done remote, yet these CEOs claiming there's no candidates are requiring people live close to an office. If you've ever wanted proof that human beings are generally irrational and stupid, look no further.

katamari-damacy 18 hours ago [-]
one way out is to get good enough with AI as a tech to automate various yet-to-be-automated industries, find customers, get investors, etc... if you try to get a job for 12 months and fail, isn't it better to try another rout? the AI angle is just one of many
feznyng 19 hours ago [-]
Question for those who lived through it: is this sense that not only is the market over but that it’s permanently over a point of discussion during the dot com crash or 2008? I’ve experienced the former personally but the idea that it’s never going to get better is a little harder to swallow, although that may be pure cope.
silisili 13 hours ago [-]
I wasn't in programming in the dot com crash, but everything from news media to friends said it was a bubble and fad. It recovered.

By 2008ish, maybe before, they were telling us all the jobs would go to India, and aren't coming back. The 2010s proved that wrong.

Too much doom and gloom here. I understand why, it sucks losing your job and searching. It'll come roaring back like it always does, especially as rates fall. We haven't even scratched the surface of smart AI application. I can't wait to see what we come up with.

I just hope these folks can survive or get by until then.

ipaddr 12 hours ago [-]
2000 or 2008 didn't feel like it was over. 2000 felt like too far too soon undelivered promises dried up the market. 2008 felt like wall street fraud killed the economy for all.

Today we are living in a reality created by FAANGs (and those who copied) who over recruited everyone so that other FAANGs could not get them. Employee count became connected to valuations. Which created insane fake demand which increased graduate numbers and let companies import people. Companies like facebook doubled their staff count in a year and a half during covid lockdowns.

Then interest rates went up and companies realized they don't need most people and then AI hit and shifted more budgets.

Recover to when? Part of the recovery is happening. Students are choosing other majors. Importing people will probably slow. The ratio of people to jobs is getting slightly better with people leaving the field. As wages and interest rates keep getting lower we'll hit a point where developers will be in demand again but AI might have taken your role by that point. Not to worry new jobs will be created somewhere doing something AI can't.

skillissuz 12 hours ago [-]
So much this. I have been watching the bootcamp mouthbreathers give up in droves and the recovery will be apparent when they've capitulated and latch onto their next host (don't forget, in 2006 they were all learning to flip homes or get a realtor license). I despise these imbecils for visiting their chaos and confusion on our industry.

The entire time (past 10 years minimum) the relative volume of skilled engineers and the demand for them (do not confuse that with open job postings) has been constant. In my opinion of course.

Dig1t 20 hours ago [-]
I work at Apple and we have a policy (new in 2024) where we are not allowed to make an offer for a manager position to a candidate unless we have interviewed a PoC or a woman for the roll. The stated goal for this policy is “diverse managers hire diverse teams”. So right off the bat we are discriminating based on race and gender.

Look at the published diversity data on the Apple website, the company is now 50% Asian in North America (they stopped publishing the data after 2022 but internally that’s the number now), because it’s cheaper to hire H1B’s and they can’t leave the company.

It’s not surprising that Americans are having trouble finding jobs right now, they are being squeezed by both DEI and cheap labor from abroad.

ajmurmann 19 hours ago [-]
IMO the difference between "interviewed" and "hired" here is crucial. I had a similar rule at my previous job. If anything I felt the risk was that this would be abused to the detriment of the URM candidate. If you have a strong candidate coming through but haven't met the URM interview retirement yet, it's tempting to not look for a "real" candidate but just go through the motions with the next candidate who matches the DEI requs. Fortunately, I can say I'd never have to give in to that temptation but the real loser would be the person who got to waste a ton of time and nervous on an interview for which they were set up to haul from the get go.
Dig1t 19 hours ago [-]
idk it seems illegal to me.. the civil rights act says in very plain language that it's illegal to discriminate based on immutable characteristics during hiring.

Break down a hypothetical scenario:

1. Post a job, anyone can apply.

2. Candidate applies, goes through the hiring process, the team likes them and wants to make an offer.

3. Not a woman or PoC so not allowed to make an offer yet.

So at this point lets say you go out and interview a woman or PoC.

a. If you like the woman or PoC and want to give them the job, then the first person was discriminated against because if they had been a different race or gender they would have got the job.

b. If you don't give them the job then you can check the box saying you interviewed the diverse candidate, but this is at best purely performative because the other outcome was discriminating against the first person.

Logically, it is impossible to have this policy and not be breaking both the spirit and letter law in my opinion.

Also the implication of "diverse managers hire diverse teams" is that the diverse managers will discriminate based on race and gender.

ajmurmann 19 hours ago [-]
Not a legal expert, but suffice to say it's not without it's challenges. In practice, as a hiring manager, I've had the luck that it hadn't made a difference either way since I always had some promising URMs in the pipeline. (Edit: I take that back. At one point I had 4 reqs and the first candidate was a real unicorn and we hadn't interviewed a URM yet. My VP gave me an exemption on the condition that the other three reqs have to go the proper route. I got the exemption because he knew for a long time and trusted me and because of the remaining, identical reqs)

Edit: To some degree it's a variation of the same old goals/metrics spiel. Ideally you'd have managers who want to give URMs a chance. In practice creating this metric to force it makes nothing better but likely everything worse for everyone in the system.

Dig1t 12 hours ago [-]
>it's not without it's challenges

This is a nice way of saying that we are breaking the law.

robocat 11 hours ago [-]
> URM

underrepresented minority

(Not from USA so I don't know many diversity acronyms)

baal80spam 19 hours ago [-]
Why is this downvoted? The man is stating a fact!
blandcoffee 21 hours ago [-]
This topic reminds me of the old interview Bernie Sanders gave nearly a decade ago.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vf-k6qOfXz0

I hope citizens wake up, business interests are not always aligned with your (citizen) economic interest. It doesn't matter if it's legal or illegal immigration, there are economic realities that we should talk about - stop focusing on the color of someones skin.

asdfologist 23 hours ago [-]
>I myself have had a difficult time landing an interview over the last year despite having two decades of experience.

Unfortunately many employers see that as a minus, not a plus.

w4ffl35 22 hours ago [-]
Indeed - I've legitimately considered creating a fake profile at this point to make myself look more Jr with about 10 years of experience. I don't really have much to lose in trying it.
mxuribe 22 hours ago [-]
I've been at the receiving end of ageism, and what i now do is drop off some of the older experience(s) from my resume, etc. Also, i try to avoid listing my graduation year from university. Some people suggest even if not fighting off ageism, its only relevant to list the last decade of experience on a resume anyway...so if i ever get questioned, i'd use that as an excuse...but, my strategy is simply to get my foot in the door to an interview without getting caught by the "age police" in HR. (If someone thinks that there's no such thing as a sort of filter - what i called "age police" - within HR, then you have wool over your eyes.)

So, my suggestion is maybe there's not a need to create a fake profile, but maybe trim yours a bit. Good luck!

FireBeyond 20 hours ago [-]
I'm in my early 40s and struggle at times because although my hair is black, my beard is entirely silver, which (I think) adds 10+ years to me.

And while I'm at the IC5/6 level in Product, I still worry about it, and think if I had to find a new job, sorry, fiancée who loves my beard, it has to go, or I think I'm going to have a hard time.

logicchains 20 hours ago [-]
Sorry if this is a stupid question, but did you consider dyeing your beard a different colour?
RGamma 18 hours ago [-]
Truly a suggestion fitting of an employment apocalypse.
mxuribe 19 hours ago [-]
Yeah, if i were you and needed to win job interviews, i'd simply trim it - if only temporarily. Although, its sad of me to say, i agree with @logicchains that it might not be a bad idea to dye your beard....but i suppose might be easier to simply cut it. /sigh

Good luck!

w4ffl35 22 hours ago [-]
Thanks - good advice I'll give this a try.
djaouen 22 hours ago [-]
Why? Is it because they’ve tasted freedom and are more likely to be rebellious when they go back?
Insanity 22 hours ago [-]
Ageism. Two decades of experience, depending on your role, might be seen as a downside. E.g, if you have been an engineer for two decades (not staff+), the question is why that person is not “motivated” to grow. Another reason is that juniors can be cheaper and easier to mold.

Two decades of experience for someone looking for a VP position is a different story, with different challenges.

franktankbank 22 hours ago [-]
I wouldn't even call it ageism. Its crazy-making x nepotism. People have stopped treating companies as a vehicle to deliver something into the economy, instead its like a great big Mastadon to be clung to like a tick and sucked dry. Fuck the accountant regime.
didgetmaster 16 hours ago [-]
Perhaps a better question is: For those who have recently found new employment; how much trouble did you have to go through in order to land the job?
InvOfSmallC 4 hours ago [-]
No it's not just you.

There is a focus in recovering from post pandemic therefore the marching order is to hire only in India in the case of company as a low cost solution.

But I just did an interview in another company and in their case is also low cost but EU.

So yeah. That's the song playing right now.

franktankbank 23 hours ago [-]
Longterm unemployed people turn to the armed forces for employment. Intentional?
theandrewbailey 23 hours ago [-]
Consider the other side of that equation. Idle hands are the devil's playground. Too many men with no future and nothing to do are known to start revolutions.
franktankbank 22 hours ago [-]
Unscheduled stress-test on the surveillance state?
Dilettante_ 20 hours ago [-]
Have you tried turning your government off and back on again?
Simon_O_Rourke 22 hours ago [-]
Most of the developers I know would be an impediment to any modern (or indeed pre-modern) military organization.
odyssey7 22 hours ago [-]
The conspiracy theory angle I would go with is a little different.

Low interests rates fueled a startup boom into the 2010s, capturing that emerging industry within the U.S. economy. AI looks promising, but the best is yet to come, so there’s a chance to reprise the earlier success that we saw into the early 2010s.

High interest rates currently mean that failed startups (those established pre-LLMs) will more easily die off, and bad conditions for software engineering employment will re-align the tech workforce toward AI. If this is a strategy that is being enacted, then I’d expect to see favorable startup funding conditions again, such as low interest rates, within a few years, to make sure the U.S. captures the AI startup market. It’s just not time to do that yet, since we need to wait for a re-skilled workforce and for a better-developed picture of what a typical successful AI startup would look like in the late 2020s.

An economist might say that no conspiracy is required, that this is simply the invisible hand at work.

JohnBooty 22 hours ago [-]
There's no doubt that the "economically disadvantaged to military pipeline" is as old as history itself, but...

No.

No for a lot of reasons.

There's no shortage of poor people in this country even when employment is high.

I mean, the max enlistment age in the US Army is theoretically 35 years old, but realistically they are not looking for anybody much past 25 from anything I have ever seen. Even from a machiavellian standpoint leaving a whole bunch of unemployed people from 18 to 75 just so you can scoop up the youngest 10% of them or whatever just makes no sense.

Lastly, the next war between major powers is probably not going to involve massive numbers of infantry troops from America. We fight proxy wars (Ukraine, etc) generally and if we fight another peer/near-peer country directly it's going to be missiles and drones and what-have-you, not 10 million American infantrymen marching through China.

RGamma 23 hours ago [-]
With tech oligopolists in government it's a match made in heaven.
w4ffl35 23 hours ago [-]
That has been one of my fears. I've even considered it for myself, but I'm 43 - too late for me.
devops99 7 hours ago [-]
> it is nearly impossible for people with CS degrees (especially white males)

It's almost like there's some trend of racism, of a systemic kind.

22 hours ago [-]
jokethrowaway 19 hours ago [-]
I know of many hiring manager who hire with recruiters that specialise in "diverse" candidates, where diverse means women and people of color only, so they can have better looking "diversity" stats. They certainly have a preference but this has been going since (at least) 2018 - it was true before the massive layoffs of 2023-24 and the end of ZIRP. What changed recently is that the market is really crap.

Incidentally all the people I know looking for a job are white males, but it may just be because they're the majority of people in tech I know anyway.

On legality of the above (given I was pretty sure it was illegal): It's legal, because "positive discrimination" is legal in the relevant EU countries (and in the UK).

graemep 19 hours ago [-]
its not legal n the uk. Quotas in particular are illegal, as is direct discrimination. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/positive-action-i...
gloosx 9 hours ago [-]
The remote work culture won, as well as capitalism. Who wanna pay a local worker 100k/year if a remote worker from small country can do the same job for half of that? I'm almost decade in the field and I'm that worker who is ready to take the half because this is enough in my country. Of course I would be considered poor in US, but here I am rich, and the hiring dynamic is pretty clear, if you want to compete on this market you need to lower your expectations.
mrayycombi 18 hours ago [-]
Musk wants "hard core" talent, remember Twitter?

He wants people hungry, super motivated and, oh yeah, not too expensive. Remember stories of him eating peanut butter sandwiches and sleeping on floors? He's a frugal/cheap guy.

There's a shortage of Americans willing to meet Musks "brilliant and cheap" spec.

H1bs are cheap(er), hungrier, and sometimes brilliant. And if not brilliant at least "hard core" if required.

Since we can't replace Musk with AI yet, we have a "labor shortage" of cheap, hardcore, brilliant talent. Yup.

hipadev23 22 hours ago [-]
wtf is a KZ foreigner
w4ffl35 22 hours ago [-]
Kazakhstan
tdiff 21 hours ago [-]
Lots of Russians fled to KZ in 2022.
tempodox 22 hours ago [-]
What's the special significance of being from Kazakhstan? How do they differ from other foreigners?
w4ffl35 12 hours ago [-]
I'm not sure what your asking. In this case the company was hiring them because they were incredibly cheap.
hipadev23 22 hours ago [-]
did you get it conflated with pakistan maybe.
w4ffl35 22 hours ago [-]
No, I hired them myself at the behest of the company, trained them, and then was fired because they were cheaper.
19 hours ago [-]
morkalork 22 hours ago [-]
Exploit foreign labour to pick crops, exploit foreign labour to do manufacturing, exploit foreign labour to do tech. At the end of the day, what is left? I keep thinking of that Henry Ford anecdote about factory workers and buying cars.
RGamma 21 hours ago [-]
What's left? Defending it all, of course.
ArtemZ 13 hours ago [-]
Landscaping was the answer for me. Pays decent enough, can't be outsourced or replaced with an H1B immigrant
egypturnash 20 hours ago [-]
> Elon Musk and others claim there is an engineer shortage and we must increase the number of H-1B visas in order to fill this gap

There is a shortage of engineers who are willing to work cheap, and to be much more tolerant of shitty working conditions because getting fired = getting deported.

hightrix 18 hours ago [-]
Not just cheap, but excessive hours. People like musk don’t want someone that works 8 hours a day and goes home. He wants someone that works and lives to work.
jarsin 22 hours ago [-]
It's not anecdotal. There's no doubt there is a massive downturn in tech and in general right now. There has never before been such large revisions to job numbers. The latest is that massive print of 653k jobs in Q2 was all a lie.

> The massive downward revisions to jobs data are set to continue: latest from PHL Fed has early benchmark indicating jobs DECLINED in Q2 of this year while the initial monthly job reports estimated gains of 653k - the labor market's strength is a fiction..

https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1867368092902601195

w4ffl35 22 hours ago [-]
Terrible. I've turned to making video games while my wife works. Rough times.
marmaduke 19 hours ago [-]
how far from your previous experience is the game work?
diamondfist25 19 hours ago [-]
Hate to be political here, but anyone that is on this boat and is left-leaning got a taste of their own medicine
ipython 19 hours ago [-]
Care to explain? A lot of the reasons posited here involve, for example, Elon firing 70+% of Twitter staff and still having a “functional” site. Elon doesn’t seem to have a particular leftward lean. Covid related stimulus (advocated by those in the left) in fact fueled a lot of the rapid growth in engineering roles in the past four years.

We are also locked in with at least the next four years of very right leaning US government, so if you’re a business basing your hiring on the expected “lean” of the government, how exactly is that the lefts fault? Heck the next two years the republicans have the trifecta plus a majority on the Supreme Court.

93po 19 hours ago [-]
Yes. I have 15 years experience of mediocre web development, project management, and product management experience. Most of my development work was building the same CRUD apps over and over in greenfield projects and at small scale, so I never really had professional experience to "level up" and be a better candidate as a developer. Obviously in this job market with lots of other unemployed people with a more clearly good track record, it's very difficult for me to get an interview at all.

I saw an interesting post on X the other day: someone was saying that when people get a degree in something like... music, and they're bad at playing whatever their chosen instrument is, it's not surprising when they don't find employment. For some reason we do have an expectation that even bad or mediocre programmers will get jobs, which was maybe historically true simply due to the high demand for those skills at all, but maybe we're seeing the shift where it no longer is.

I think there's more at play too: many people are more productive in their roles thanks to AI, people are maybe clinging to their jobs more knowing what the job market is like, and companies are probably not spending money like they have been for the past decade due to interesting rates/uncertainty/whatever else.

One anecdote I'll add about foreign workers: my last employer was a software agency/consultancy, and they had probably twice as many developers in a country in southeast asia as they did in the US. I am not clear what the root of the issue was, I think it was probably several things, but that employer did struggle a lot with the results and output of the teams in that country, to the point that their entire office in that country closed down and I think the entire team was laid off. I think the problem was a mixture of poor management on the American side, poor hiring practices on the foreign (I don't like that word) side, cultural differences between expectations in work, communication barriers in terms of them understanding the details of the work that needed to be done, and mismanagement on both sides of the ocean causing poor morale.

I will add, that agency framed the use of foreign workers as a necessity for cost reasons, which I believe to be true. There was work they did with extremely small margins and even with foreign workers, was often times unprofitable. Small businesses just really do not have the budget for teams of software developers to make custom software, and especially not when the development process is an inefficient as it sometimes was at that agency.

disclaimer: really lovely, amazing people all around. great humans. had some understandable flaws. i don't like the use of the word foreign because i don't want to otherize anyone but not sure what other word to use

20 hours ago [-]
15 hours ago [-]
aip4aileiPhi 17 hours ago [-]
I'll add my sob story to the pile for the sake of a data point. Warning this story contains racial identity.

White male, 10 yoe, worked at FAANG and many more. I was laid off and remained unemployed for over a year. I only have my new job thanks to nepotism - or referral, if you prefer to be politically correct.

2021 - I land a new job as a senior dev at a startup with a huge salary (200k) thanks to the hiring surge. Things are good, we're all getting along, but my Indian male tech lead confides in me that he's upset that I'm paid as much as he is - he's been with the company longer, and he implies that he works harder. I encourage him to pursue a raise with management, but we maintain a good relationship, I would say friends even.

Fast forward 2 years - My skills are generally recognized by everyone, from peers, to the engineering director, even the VP - everyone has seen what I can do, and they trust and respect me to do good work. Then one day, things aren't so good - I have some home life drama and I drop the ball at work. Meanwhile, my tech lead is stressed out for his own reasons, but its a perfect storm and things boil over. He writes a lengthy (angry) email complaining to management about me, tearing me to shreds. I'm stunned and try to defend myself, some people go to bat for me, but its Dec 2022 and that email puts me on the short list when the layoff wave strikes - I'm out of work.

Its months of grinding and interviewing - I finally get an offer but my mental health is in a bad place so I turn it down. I'm still feeling raw and betrayed and I'm just wondering what the fuck is the point of it all. I take some more time, then start interviewing again, but things go from bad to worse in the job market. I succeed in a couple of on-sites but still lose out to other candidates. By a stroke of luck, I connect with an old acquaintance who was willing to advocate for me and get my resume to the top of the pile. I do the whole song and dance and land the job - that brings me to today.

The whole experience has left me with a bitter and jaded opinion of this industry, and work in general. I now consider this industry a joke. I don't enjoy programming anymore, I don't think there are any tech products that make the world a better place - any that were decent continue to enshitify - and to be honest I'm wary of non-americans going out of there way to undermine me - likely fueled by their own fears and anxiety of winding up in the same position, but with more to lose. Nonetheless, I wasn't aware that they harbored such resentment against americans, and I won't be forgetting it anytime soon.

And congrats to CEOs who once again have us fighting amongst ourselves - you've made the world a worse place and got rich doing it. Great job.

coding123 19 hours ago [-]
I mentioned a couple years back it looked like this was happening. HN shrugged.
20 hours ago [-]
robomartin 22 hours ago [-]
While I have been self-employed for a few decades, I do see and hear about what's happening out there. I have many friends who have had challenges and others who are afraid to leave their jobs, even when paid well under what they are worth. One of them finally gave up and took a job in the oil fields in New Mexico. This, after sending hundreds of applications and enduring a few 5 to 7 stage interviews, only to be told they chose someone else.

Age discrimination has been a real problem in tech for a very long time, this isn't new at all. Yet, somehow, it feels like it has gotten progressively worse over time. There are companies where you have the young (25-ish, just out of school) comprise the majority and the managers are just a few years older than that. They simply do not want to see "Mom" or "Dad" join the team.

You are going to find very few 40, 50 or 60+ year old engineer in those environments. Their experience and capabilities do not matter at all except for a few domains where they almost have no options (RF electronics, signal/power integrity, embedded systems, gov/mil, etc.).

I am not saying that age discrimination is the only filter being applied, of course not. That is, however, likely one of the main filters for a large group in the application pool.

The other problem seems to be that a massive portion of the job posting on sites like LinkedIn seem to be fake. I have seen reports claiming that the number might be as high as 80%. These postings are fake for a lot of reasons. One of them, at least in the US, are rules/laws that require posting a job opening even when you have already identified someone you will hire (or retain) for that role. Companies have to be able to show they evaluated N applications before declaring they will hire someone from the inside or retain/bring-in an H1B.

This is terrible and --while there is no indication that this will be an objective-- I hope the new administration gives this issue some thought and modifies the rules of the game to create a real market for jobs, one where opportunities are fair for everyone (whatever that metric might be).

For example, people have been told to go study coding all the way back to the Obama administration (maybe earlier, I don't remember). So, lots of people did. And then they were dropped on their collective heads. No offense to anyone, but, if the US is telling its young to study CS, H1B visas should have become rare and exceptional. Nothing else is fair.

There are other problems, of course, many problems. One of the is that university CS programs in the US and elsewhere, well, suck. People come out of programs with their degrees and are incapable of writing code. In the US, they can argue with you about Socialism and Karl Marx, and they can't code shit. They are taught what I call "coding by library". I am going to stretch and suggest that the vast majority of them would drown if you gave them C and a raw embedded system and asked them to implement a neural network or a genetic algorithm (and many other things). Give them Python and Pybullet and they are all geniuses. Brilliant.

So, yeah, education has to change. A CS/Engineering degree should consist of three years of core, from the ground-up, subjects and one more year specializing at a higher level. Yes, that means that the $50K students are forced to pay for bullshit non-degree topics must go. They are a waste of time. General education should happen in high school, not university at $30K to $50K per year.

You should be able to graduate with a solid CS foundation in three years, a generalist, if you will. Anyone wishing to specialize should be able to add one year to their BS degree for this purpose and a Masters after that.

About two years ago I helped a recent CS graduate prepare for an interview. What I learned from this single data point was astounding. It is embarrassing that our universities are doing such a horrible job in preparing people for their future. The issues had to do both with breath and depth of knowledge. To be sure, encyclopedic knowledge isn't necessary, but you have to be able to code using something other than JS, P5.js or Python and a pile of fat libraries you do not understand.

Questions like "What's a pointer?" and "Can the data in a non-mutable Python object ever change?" should have intelligent answers that reveal understanding. BTW, the answer to the second question is: Yes, absolutely.

Getting back to the issue of finding employment, frankly, I am not sure what people can do about it. If I were looking for a job I would likely take one of two approaches. The first would be to join everyone else carpet-bombing job postings with applications. Well, that does not work. The other might be to be extremely selective and, perhaps, look for niche positions with few applicants and attempt to tailor the application to make a case for hiring you.

One thing is sure: Trying to second-guess a software-based application filter (AI or otherwise) is a waste of time. You are throwing your application into a black box and have not idea what happens inside it. Whatever guess you might make is far more likely to be random, rather than stochastic. In other words, in the first case your guesses will have almost completely unpredictable results while, in the second case, with some knowledge, the guesses are made in the context of something that resembles a probability distribution.

And yet, in the end, either case might be equally pointless. This is particularly true when the posting's intent was to support internal hire or H1B.

The other angle on this is entrepreneurship. This isn't for everyone. Most will fail and do so multiple times, dozens of times in some cases. I nearly lost everything I owned before I experienced success. Like I said, not for most.

In the end, I don't really know how this can be fixed. I don't believe in big government, so I am not comfortable with the suggestion that legislation is a solution. Then again, I also have to admit that there might be a need for this on a temporary basis to bring balance into the relevant markets.

Glyptodon 20 hours ago [-]
I somewhat disagree with you about CS degrees. Though my data points are a bit dated. (And a couple academic CS acquaintances feel that there's are department level declines.)

But the standard curriculum I'm familiar with always includes courses where you need to use C, or similar low level languages, to write an OS, compilers, networking stack, etc. And at least one course focused on a system language as a pre-req for those. The push for more practical coursework I think is perceived to have come from industry, which generally would rather have someone who can string some python packages together to do something quickly than someone who's never touched python but can write a compiler or OS from scratch.

That said, I do think it seems like ML topics should fit into standard coursework (wasn't really a thing when I was in school - AI was maybe an occasional elective or grad topic). It seems pretty adjacent to parallel and distributed computing (don't remember if that was optional or required) and statistics, which was not precisely part of CS curriculum, but occasionally discrete math/algo/grammar track adjacent in practice.

But I have trouble seeing how that could fit into 3 years. It's hard to parallelize the intro series of courses that build up to the "fan out" to he higher level courses/reqs, (though maybe stats/ML intro could fit early) and once you hit the fan out, 3 courses take about 80/hrs a week for most of a semester. IMO if you're wanting foundational knowledge and not the "patch Python packages together" it's hard to compress.

One thing that is happening is non-CS degrees with weaker requirements to get to people skills, like BAs in technology and computing, that focus much more lightly on CS and just have a solid amount of "practical" coursework, e.g. "here's how to use the most common Python ML libraries and Django, BTW this would be a great thing to double major in with Bio."

robomartin 12 hours ago [-]
While you are right, I think the evidence points to deficiencies in depth and breath.

There are plenty or published articles discussing why the mega-interviews became a thing when employers started to realize CS graduates could not develop software.

And then there's the H1B argument. If our educational pipeline is delivering people with solid skill sets, hiring H1B's should be rare because you could not justify it.

Better yet, given the cost of higher education in the US: Why are universities not graduating the absolute best professionals in the world? Every single H1B hire is one more data point in support of the idea that our universities are not doing a good job.

Before someone mentions pay, I looked around and there seem to be multiple studies indicating that H1B's are getting paid on-par with US workers.

Once again, if an H1B hire is justified, it means our universities did not produce candidates with competitive skill sets. Then, why are we paying hundreds of thousands of dollars for these degrees and financially enslaving people for decades?

ipaddr 12 hours ago [-]
People go to a technical college for this. The college you describe should introduce the student to a wide variety ideas and thoughts and history. When that is done going to a technical college to actual learn the craft is the better choice for those not programming in their spare time at a high level. Expecting hands on skills from a degree isn't fair because it is not what a degree means.
93po 18 hours ago [-]
I am okay with universities have two years of unrelated classes because that's part of what higher education has traditionally been about - exposure to a lot of concepts, and I agree many have very little impact on your career as a software developer, but a degree was historically about more than just getting a job. It's slowly morphed that way over time, but if your main goal is getting a programming job, there are much faster and cheaper (free) ways to do that in 2024. There are 100 lifetimes on quality online content around software development and learning those skills, building a portfolio, and being able to demonstrate them well in an interview will definitely land you a job (at least prior to 2024 it would)
robomartin 12 hours ago [-]
> higher education has traditionally been about - exposure to a lot of concepts

I completely agree. However, we have not had that (lots of concepts) for decades. Universities are largely ideologically monocultural now. This isn't education, it's indoctrination.

And, when you include the fact that students are paying tens of thousands of dollars for all of their non-major courses, this quickly turns into a tragedy. Most people take decades to pay off their student loans.

General education needs to happen in K-12. There are plenty of cultures around the world where high school students graduate with impressive (compared to average US) cultural background and exposure.

Sometimes flipping things around can be useful. Nobody in their right mind would suggest an English or History major should be forced to take a solid year worth of CS coursework as a condition for obtaining the degree. Why is the reverse OK? It is not. We've just come to accept it.

Here's another thought experiment: Imagine I was allowed by the Department of Education to grant Bachelor degrees in CS while focusing 100% on CS coursework. My four-year graduates would absolutely destroy anyone from a university who wasted their time with non-STEM courses. They would be brutally better candidates for every job. It would be a truly unfair advantage. That's how our current system is damaging our young professionals. They are forcing them to waste a year of their lives on stuff nobody cares about when hiring.

dafuqdat 23 hours ago [-]
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josephsantana 22 hours ago [-]
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josephsantana 22 hours ago [-]
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kindeyoowee 20 hours ago [-]
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unquietwiki 20 hours ago [-]
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phendrenad2 19 hours ago [-]
If you're good, and you can demonstrate that you're good, you should have no problem finding a job. There are still many more job openings than there are skilled candidates.

And I don't think there's any discrimination against white males, that's certainly a popular talking point from the far-right, but it's simply not true.

dh2022 18 hours ago [-]
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. Care to show some evidence?
phendrenad2 18 hours ago [-]
heavymetalpoizn 9 hours ago [-]
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1vuio0pswjnm7 20 hours ago [-]
"I am seeing many anecdotal experiences shared online on various platforms stating that it is difficult to find employment in tech."

What is "tech"

100% serious question

Is it short for "technology"

For example,

"Technology is the application of conceptual knowledge to achieve practical goals, especially in a reproducible way."

Skolnikoff, Eugene B. (1993). "The Setting". The Elusive Transformation: Science, Technology, and the Evolution of International Politics. Princeton University Press. p. 13. ISBN 0-691-08631-1. JSTOR j.ctt7rpm1. Citing Harvey Brooks' definition of technology as "knowledge of how to fulfill certain human purposes in a specifiable and reproducible way."

The term "technology", historically, is not synonymous with computers despite whatever popular usage has arisen in the past ~20 years.

Technology predates the existence and use of computers and computer networks and the use of these resources for commercial surveillance

Knowledge of computers and computer newtorks is a type of conceptual knowledge

Electronic surveillance, data collection from internet usage and delivery of advertising via internet is a practical goal

The application of conceptual knowledge of computers and computer networks to the practical goal of surveillance, data collection and advertising is reproducible

However it should be self-evident that "technology" is much broader than this type of application

Most technology has nothing to do with internet surveillance or advertising

__MatrixMan__ 20 hours ago [-]
> Most technology has nothing to do with internet surveillance or advertising

Yes, but what people want is to make money applying technology, and most of that does in fact have something to do with surveillance and advertising.

This is because control-over-other-people stands out as something which there will always be demand for. Everything else gets easier to supply as technology improves.

RGamma 16 hours ago [-]
"Tech", as in use here, is the VC-tortured shorthand for "anything to do with computers or the internet" and maybe other fruits of hard science like energy or biotech. The term's similar to content, influencer or creator, in that it sucks the nuance out to commodify it better.
20 hours ago [-]
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